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  #1  
Old 2nd June 2006, 01:36 AM
Chrome Prince Chrome Prince is offline
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That theory of topweight in a Welter is another myth to be busted.

517 Topweights in Welters

Return $380.60

Loss 136.40 units or 26.38% LOT

There were only two in my database running over exactly 2400m and both lost.

The one's that started at greater than $6.00 on the tote were 278 for a return of $162.20 and loss of 115.80 or 41.65% LOT

NB: Flying Welters not included

MYTH BUSTED

I've long held the suspicion that bookmakers started these myths and sent them around the rings shouting "look there's another one that just won" to perpetuate it.

So far I've busted:

Topweight in a Welter
Horses For Courses
Avoid horses second up
Avoid wet tracks (did you know Fast is the very worst going to make a profit?)
The impact of weight
The impact of time
Track Record breakers
Odds On Look On

To name just a few.

Take all these myths and lay 'em like there's no tomorrow and win big.

The bookies version of the Da Vinci Code - BUSTED
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Last edited by Chrome Prince : 2nd June 2006 at 01:42 AM.
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  #2  
Old 6th June 2006, 03:45 PM
POSEIDON POSEIDON is offline
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Thumbs up MUSWELLBROOK RACE 7

(1) MAIN GAME EW!
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  #3  
Old 7th June 2006, 12:39 PM
POSEIDON POSEIDON is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by POSEIDON
(1) MAIN GAME EW!



..narrow win but got there!
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  #4  
Old 8th June 2006, 03:25 PM
slowseriousstab slowseriousstab is offline
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Like the toppy COPPER PENNY!

Others for multies CAMBRIC, CIRCUS MAXIMUS & AWESOME FLASH
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  #5  
Old 9th June 2006, 09:28 PM
slowseriousstab slowseriousstab is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by slowseriousstab
Like the toppy COPPER PENNY!

Others for multies CAMBRIC, CIRCUS MAXIMUS & AWESOME FLASH



Copper Penny finished 3rd (made profit on EW) also jagged nice tri with Cambric winning from Circus Maximus
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  #6  
Old 9th June 2006, 10:54 PM
slowseriousstab slowseriousstab is offline
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Default Eagle Farm 3

Like the toppy BECKS!

Others for multies GENERALS COMMAND, GENERAL PATTON, BITABIFF & MYSTIKOS
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  #7  
Old 11th June 2006, 06:26 AM
Happychap
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Kempsey 3 (1) Hole In One
Very consistent.
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  #8  
Old 11th June 2006, 09:14 AM
feather feather is offline
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SSCOAST
R6-1 GIRL OF THE WEST

KALGOORLIE
R5-1 UNIVERSAL SEARCH
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  #9  
Old 11th June 2006, 12:02 PM
partypooper partypooper is offline
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Chrome, I have no doubt that your figures are correct, as such a simple plan taking in every race ,every day of the week borders on,....... no is impossible. The only thing that seems to sort em out better is "handicaps only" Metro only, and using 6-1 PRE-POST quote. (I use WA Tab-Form) but I guess still a loser if you backed em all, may it should be kept as one of those things "when in doubt" as Breadman suggests, or "when" at the races.

Just as a matter of interest this produced 14 bets yesterday (5 states) for 3 wins, Sharp Aunty $6.80, Jackass $6, and Impatient Star $8, not counting the hurdle winner and a bit close with Imprisoned
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  #10  
Old 11th June 2006, 04:02 PM
breadman breadman is offline
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Smile thanx partypooper

just a quick thank you for refferring to my comment of WHEN in doubt not every welter. O r for that matter any race. The way I thought the saying went was when you had 3 or 4 horses marked out to win that race and you couldnt make up your mind you then back the top weight. I still remember ian craig saying that on 3 way turf talk. oh my god am i getting old or what!!!
Never been a program that could match that on radio. Oh no what have i done now? maybe a new thread on best radio programs..... hehehe
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