Originally Posted by UselessBettor

FR column is the final Don Scott Rating. If you don't change any of the figures then this is the default rating.

Originally Posted by Dale

Thanks Useless bettor.

Only stands to reason those results can be improved. Was wondering what the expected return on the highest Final Ratings would be if one just bet on the TAB.

I expect perhaps a 10% loss?

Originally Posted by UselessBettor

I can only give you the betfair return after 5% commission. It is :

There were 34655 horse form lines in the database at this point in time.
There were 3261 selections for the System
There were 777 Winners for the System for a strike rate of 23.83%
There were $3178.27 returned for WIN (after 5% commission) which means a Profit or loss of $-82.73 or a percentage profit/loss of -2.54%
Test Another System
The Rules used were : donScottRank = 1



They can be improved fairly easy. Try those with the highest win strike rate:

There were 1379 selections for the System
There were 426 Winners for the System for a strike rate of 30.89%
There were $1425.9 returned for WIN (after 5% commission) which means a Profit or loss of $46.9 or a percentage profit/loss of 3.4%
Test Another System
The Rules used were : donScottRank = 1 and winSrRank = 1


Or just bet on the value bets usign a wide barrier filter:

There were 1341 selections for the System
There were 319 Winners for the System for a strike rate of 23.79%
There were $1427.52 returned for WIN (after 5% commission) which means a Profit or loss of $86.52 or a percentage profit/loss of 6.45%
Test Another System
The Rules used were : barrier >= 7 and donScottRank = 1

Originally Posted by Dale

Try this one guys. All the 1's

Don Scott number 1
Last start finished 1
Career starts 11 or more
Runners 11 or more


There were 165 selections for the System
There were 37 Winners for the System for a strike rate of 22.42%
There were $211.76 returned for WIN (after 5% commission) which means a Profit or loss of $46.76 or a percentage profit/loss of 28.34%

The Rules used were : lastStart = 1 and donScottRank = 1 and careerRaces >= 11 and runners >= 11

Originally Posted by aussielongboat

mmmm ....not sure sure of those results.
i tested on some other data - going back to February 2011 and using tattsbet dividends and got :

starters 1089
winners187
win loss 200
% win loss -18%
on 3-11-2011 i got these selections:
EAGLE FARM Mr Favulous 0/4.7
EAGLE FARM Carry Me Bluey 0/1.2
KEMBLA Etype 0/0
ELLERSLIE Undisclosed 0/0

has anyone else tested ?