Smartgambler
Pro-Punter

Go Back   OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums > Public Forums > Horse Race Betting Systems
User Name
Password
Register FAQ Search Today's Posts Mark all topics as read

To advertise on these
forums, e-mail us.

 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #21  
Old 4th March 2006, 10:17 AM
KennyVictor KennyVictor is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Mt Tamborine
Posts: 574
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by wesmip1

Here is a "backfitted" system which might be worth watching. All the back fitted rules are sensible (in my opinion). I developed this today cause I got bored and thought I would give backfitting a go.

It has had 10 bets in the last 10 days and has had 10 winners.
Hi Wesmip,
When I read this at first I assumed the 10 bets for 10 winners was the result of backfitting but reading some replies I get the impression some others think you backfitted it and then had the 10 winners using the rules.

Which is it? How many bets have you had since you devised the system?

KV
Reply With Quote
  #22  
Old 4th March 2006, 11:38 AM
wesmip1 wesmip1 is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 1,601
Default

KV,

ok to avoid confusion I did the following :

Took some data I had stored from Dec - Jan and essentially backfitted the results so that it only had horses which had won or placed. Any horse which didn't at least place I found a reason to exclude ( hence backfitting ).

I then checked it over the previous 10 days and found it had 10 selections for 10 Winners. But I didn't test these real time ( but they were not part of the data which was used for backfitting).

I haven't bothered going back further.

The backfitted results were :

Races : 45 ( 2 months of data)
Wins : 30
Places : 45
WIN ROT : 183%
PLACE ROT : 153%

I don't believe the above figures are worth anything except to show the system might have some potential. Hence I only put up the last 10 days worth as these were not part of the backfitted data.

The first "live" selection where I actually picked the winner before the race was the first one I posted here. Regardless of that the system had selected 11 winners in a row.

Therefore new stats are (with those 11 winners and a second) :

Races : 57
Wins : 41
Places : 57

Hope that clears it up.
Reply With Quote
  #23  
Old 4th March 2006, 11:44 AM
wesmip1 wesmip1 is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 1,601
Default

michaelg,

Probably could vary it, I just had a quick look over the data and found it was only one rule that really mattered. I might be able to just use this one rule, but it is the main filter and was the one that really cut out the majority of losers.

Anyway I will have a play aorund and anything I come up with I will post.

BTW there were no selecitons today.

Good Luck.
Reply With Quote
  #24  
Old 4th March 2006, 12:59 PM
KennyVictor KennyVictor is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Mt Tamborine
Posts: 574
Default

Thanks Wesmip, that makes it much more valid than my first impression. I look forward to more results.
KV
Reply With Quote
  #25  
Old 4th March 2006, 05:47 PM
Duritz Duritz is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 956
Talking

Yay Wesmip, our new leader!! Let us follow you, as children into the Piper's caves!! Lead on!!
Reply With Quote
  #26  
Old 4th March 2006, 07:53 PM
wesmip1 wesmip1 is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 1,601
Default

No Selections for Sunday.
Reply With Quote
  #27  
Old 4th March 2006, 10:12 PM
Duritz Duritz is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 956
Default

Oh Wesmip, this is torturous!! We want to unload!!

We want to walk up to the bookie and say, "Give me EVERYTHING on the Wesmip moral!!!!!"
Reply With Quote
  #28  
Old 5th March 2006, 04:59 PM
KennyVictor KennyVictor is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Mt Tamborine
Posts: 574
Default

And the bookie shall say unto us "Nay, nay heathen rabble, get thee behind me unto the piper's caves from whence ye came. I shall bet against no such certainties."
And the horses shall say "Neigh, neigh.........

No, I've changed my mind. I refuse to be part of this Tomfoolerey.
Reply With Quote
  #29  
Old 5th March 2006, 06:09 PM
dingoboy dingoboy is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 241
Default

Are there any women here ?
No ...No....SHe is, she is,...no,...he is ,....he is.

Its all good fun.
Reply With Quote
  #30  
Old 5th March 2006, 06:43 PM
Duritz Duritz is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 956
Default

And Wesmip shall calleth from the mountain to us, delivering unto us his ten Commandments for punting glory, and we shall be glad.
Reply With Quote


Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Forum Jump



All times are GMT +10. The time now is 09:46 AM.


Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
©2008 OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved . ACN 091184655