I,ve heard of that 9/4 Plan.
Was it a original PPM Magazine one.?(From the Optimist)

Cheers

Hi Bhagwan

Here goes the moment of truth, I have never gone into this kind of detail before.

Not sure what it all means yet but thanks to you I can now do these calculations myself.

Level Stakes

POT
5.69%

SR
38.77%

ROI
105.69%

AV Div
6.35


G 6 Plan

POT
5.7828%

SR
38.771

ROI
105.78

Av Div
2.72839


Hope these make sense.


Kevin

Novice Punter

Novice Punter,
Your figures will make more sense if we know how many bets you are talking about [?]

Sorry Crash

944 Total Bets

366 Win

Kevin


Novice Punter

Kevin, If you have won over that No. of bets, then over that number of bets you managed to have the odds [on average over the number of bets] in your favour through either luck or masterful selections of actual overlays. No other reason.


For anyone interested, they might like to have a read.

See: 'Progression Betting'
and....
'Mathematical Proof That Progressions Cannot Overcome Expectation' [f you have the head for the maths involved].

http://www.bjmath.com/bjmath/progress/progress.htm

Hi all, haven't posted for a long time but have been reading with interest this thread as I think it highlights the different thoughts on staking (most important).

I actually wanted to hear what Bhagwan had to say about the "nay sayers" of progression staking as he appears to be the king of the staking plans.

Secondly Bhagwan do you think it is possible for a progression plan to be formulated for a method where your selections are striking around 12-13% but paying $8.00 on average. Level stakes about even, but a progression plan with that low a strike rate would run up a big run of outs.

While we are quoting texts, "There is no such thing as a successful level stake gambling system." - The Elements of Throughbred Racing, Joseph Keating.

So who is right? One thing is for sure - Winners are grinners no matter what the method or plan.

Mr Keating either

a) Hadn't been able to restrain himself from loss chasing
b) Never found a system.
c) Never asked around.

It's being done everyday.

OR

He meant that a gambling system is when the overall odds are against you - negative POT

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Hi AngryPixie,

Really chuffed here, thank you very much for all the work.

Have a question for you.

Advantage of 10.81%, can you explain this to me please.


Kevin


Novice Punter

Hi Crash,


Thanks for your side of the story, please read my post again, carefully.

May I respectfully point out that your name is not mentioned.

You may call me NP Kevin Novice Punter or Novice.

Your name is Crash, that’s the name you chose and I will call you that.


“It's given him a new lease of life and he is now literally bursting with new ideas and even double posts.”


It’s a shame there it not more of that around.


Kevin


Novice Punter

There used to be NP, used to be a lot more of it ..good humor too !