Just had 2 bets on the AFL this week, Carlton (+17.5) and Adelaide (+7.5), both winners for the Home Dog system.

Good onya sportznut and well done! :smile:

Got my kicks from backing the bulldogs in the NRL :wink:

__________________
Ta me go maith

Sportz, out of interest what is the total record for your home dogs in all 3 codes?

Mr J,

I'm sure you remember how well my system went on S12. It went 14-1, including 11-1 after I posted the rules on here!!! :grin:

I certainly don't expect to end up anywhere near as successful on NRL and AFL, although the AFL is certainly doing pretty well so far. After Round 14 of the AFL, the Home Dog system is at 15-6, and after Round 17 of the NRL, it's 9-7. So, combining all three codes so far this year, it's 38-14. Not bad. :smile:

I have a gut feeling some people here aren't being totally honest about their losing bets.
What do you think Sportznut?

Yeh sportz, they've hit at an incredible rate. It'd be nice to have a good sample size though, that way we might actually know what they truly hit. Definately a trend the bookies shouldn't be allowing.

This is using you rules as well right (ie no bet if 2 SA/NZ teams, 2 sydney teams etc)?

Yep. In the S12, I'll bet when two Aussie teams play but not when two NZ or two SA teams meet. In the NRL, there's no bet when two Sydney teams play, and in the AFL, no bet when two Melbourne teams play or in the local derbies. Oh, also no bet when teams give away their home games to the opposition.

There was one tricky one this year. Hawthorn played Fremantle in Tassie. While it wasn't strictly a genuine home game for Hawthorn, it was certainly an away game for Fremantle so I decided to back Hawthorn in that game anyway. Technically, I guess you shouldn't count that one and if you don't, that makes it 14-6 in the AFL this year. The same thing happens this week with Hawthorn playing West Coast at York Park and I'm sure the Hawks will be underdogs in that one. So technically, I guess they shouldn't really be selections, but I'll probably have a small bet on them anyway.

[ This Message was edited by: sportznut on 2004-07-05 17:09 ]

I hope that wasn't directed at me.

Those figures for the Home Dog system are 100% accurate. Anyone who follows the rules and uses TAB Sportsbet for the lines which is what I recommend, would have had the same results. By the way, they aren't the ONLY bets I have on the Football each week, but they are a major part of my betting.

Anyway, here are the results so far:

S12
R1 Brumbies (+8.5) vs Blues WON
R2 Stormers (+3.5) vs Highlanders WON
R3 Reds (+5.5) v Crusaders WON
R4 Reds (+5.5) vs Blues WON
R4 Bulls (+5.5) vs Brumbies WON
R4 Stormers (+6.5) vs Waratahs WON
R5 Bulls (+4.5) vs Waratahs WON
R5 Stormers (+3.5) vs Brumbies LOST
R6 Chiefs (+4.5) vs Waratahs WON
R8 Sharks (+3.5) vs Crusaders WON
R8 Cats (+5.5) vs Chiefs WON
R9 Cats (+9.5) vs Crusaders WON
R10 Waratahs (+4.5) vs Brumbies WON
R12 Chiefs (+6.5) vs Brumbies WON
R12 Reds (+4.5) vs Waratahs WON

AFL
R1 Kangaroos (+6.5) vs Adelaide WON
R1 W.Bulldogs (+9.5) vs West Coast WON
R2 Adelaide (+11.5) vs Brisbane LOST
R3 Essendon (+7.5) vs West Coast WON
R4 Melbourne (+19.5) vs Port Adelaide WON
R4 West Coast (+5.5) vs Brisbane WON
R4 Adelaide (+5.5) vs St Kilda LOST
R5 Richmond (+10.5) vs Adelaide LOST
R5 Carlton (+12.5) vs West Coast WON
R6 St Kilda (+4.5) vs Brisbane WON
R6 Geelong (+4.5) vs Adelaide WON
R7 Kangaroos (+28.5) vs Brisbane LOST
R8 Hawthorn (+8.5) vs Fremantle WON
R8 Geelong (+5.5) vs Melbourne WON
R10 Carlton (+46.5) vs St Kilda LOST
R11 Sydney (+30.5) vs St Kilda WON
R12 Essendon (+8.5) vs Brisbane LOST
R13 Geelong (+19.5) vs Brisbane WON
R14 Carlton (+17.5) vs Sydney WON
R14 Adelaide (+7.5) vs Melbourne WON

NRL
R2 Melbourne (+4.5) vs Newcastle LOST
R3 Parramatta (+3.5) vs Newcastle WON
R3 N.Qld (+2.5) vs Canberra WON
R3 W.Tigers (+6.5) vs Brisbane LOST
R4 Manly (+4.5) vs N.Zld LOST
R6 N.Qld (+6.5) vs Brisbane LOST
R6 Newcastle (+5.5) vs Syd Roosters LOST
R6 Sharks (+4.5) vs Canberra WON
R9 Newcastle (+6.5) vs Bulldogs WON
R10 Souths (+7.5) vs N.Qld WON
R10 W.Tigers (+2.5) vs Canberra WON
R11 N.Qld (+5.5) vs Penrith WON
R11 Souths (+6.5) vs N.Zld LOST
R13 N.Zld (+3.5) vs Canberra WON
R14 Souths (+13.5) vs Melbourne WON
R15 Parramatta (+2.5) vs Brisbane LOST
R16 N.Qld (+7.5) vs Bulldogs LOST

Your early prediction was Melbourne to win by 12 points.
So the homedog system says Adelaide is a selection.
At +7.5
Supposing they were at +1.5
Would you still have backed them,considering you thought Melbourne would win by 12 points?

moeee, never had a bet on the port /saints game as i thought it was a 50/50 call, but they seem to get flustered when they are behind, and as with the swans game once they were behind they really were nver in it, thought the papers down there were a little harsh on them, with that picture of the wheels falling off[ even though it was funny]and they will improve this year and next year , do you think they need this season to top them off for 2005