The figures in my last post would answer those questions, this is very new so figures have had no time to develop i am still on the first unit of bets with only 3 runners on the the second bet of 1 unit.

51 x 1 unit bets

for

18 collects (winners)

at

$3.08 to $1 or $4.08 average odds of your winners,

indicate that as it stands at present you have a 14.28% advantage over the Tote / Bookies and according to the Kelly Criterion this is the percentage of your bank you should bet every time to maximise your profit!

However, I wouldn't recommend that course of action, because if, and it will, (maybe it already has) a run of 7 outs in a row comes along, your bank will have been wiped out!

You seem to be on the right track, but I would be waiting for a much bigger sample, say 500 or even 1,000 theoretical bets to get more reliable data.

Good luck,

Gerry

5 runners in the one race not exactly ideal but oh well.


May 04
RUE MAPLE WARRNAMBOOL R6 No.10 (1200m) 1 Unit
BY THE WAY WARRNAMBOOL R6 No.14 (1200m) 1 Unit
UXORIOUS WARRNAMBOOL R6 No.19 (1200m) 1 Unit
SNAPPARAZI WARRNAMBOOL R6 No.5 (1200m) 1 Unit
GLANEUSE WARRNAMBOOL R6 No.6 (1200m) 1 Unit
RAIN MELODY WARWICK FARM R5 No.3 (1100m) 1 Unit

UXORIOUS +5.11

May 05
HOW MUCH MY LOVE WAGGA WAGGA R7 No.12 (1200m) 1 Unit
SHANTY WAGGA WAGGA R7 No.17 (1200m) 1 Unit
KING COTTON WARRNAMBOOL R7 No.14 (1100m) 1 Unit

HOW MUCH MY LOVE + 7.74

May 06
FREE SPIRITED WAGGA WAGGA R4 No.1 (1000m) 1 Unit
SNIPPERETTE WAGGA WAGGA R6 No.9 (1400m) 1 Unit
BIG BONANZA WAGGA WAGGA R8 No.15 (1200m) 1 Unit

May 07
CLUELESS ANGEL BELMONT R6 No.4 (1300m) 1 Unit
GLOBAL FLIRT BELMONT R7 No.2 (1400m) 1 Unit
UNANIMOUSLY CANTERBURY R4 No.3 (1100m) 1 Unit
RHYTHM OF DANCE CANTERBURY R8 No.4 (1550m) 1 Unit
YULALONA CANTERBURY R8 No.9 (1550m) 1 Unit
TINTERN FLEMINGTON R6 No.4 (1600m) 1 Unit
STREETS AWAY GOLD COAST R3 No.8 (1400m) 1 Unit
SIGURDARDOTTIR GOLD COAST R5 No.13 (1200m) 1 Unit
FASTER SON GOLD COAST R6 No.12 (1300m) 1 Unit
MEET GEORGE GOLD COAST R6 No.13 (1300m) 1 Unit
RIGHTFULLY YOURS GOLD COAST R6 No.3 (1300m) 1 Unit
THANKGODYOU'REHERE GOLD COAST R6 No.4 (1300m) 1 Unit
SHOOT OUT GOLD COAST R7 No.3 (1800m) 1 Unit
MILITARY ROSE GOLD COAST R8 No.13 (1200m) 1 Unit
SURVIVAL NEWCASTLE R4 No.5 (1400m) 1 Unit
MISS IMAGICA TOOWOOMBA CUSHION R5 No.1 (1050m) 1 Unit

Millitary Rose +18.30
Unanimously +2.13

Nice win today will celebrate tonight

May 08
MASTER GAZE GUNNEDAH R8 No.1 (1000m) 1 Unit
TOORAK TOFF MORPHETTVILLE R7 No.3 (1200m) 1 Unit