Smartgambler
Pro-Punter

Go Back   OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums > Public Forums > Horse Race Betting Systems
User Name
Password
Register FAQ Search Today's Posts Mark all topics as read

To advertise on these
forums, e-mail us.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #1  
Old 28th October 2016, 11:02 PM
Neil Neil is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 824
Thumbs up The Upset Winners Betting System

This simple betting system has given a leg in to some great winners over the years.

Here are the rules.

1. The horse is having its third run in from a spell of at least 2 months.

2. The horse finished no better than 4th. in its first 2 runs.

3. It has won at least 3 races.

4. It has a winning strike rate of at least 33 1/3% - that is 1 win from every 3 starts.

That's it.

Good luck.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 5th March 2018, 04:55 AM
proxy proxy is offline
Member
 
Join Date: May 2005
Posts: 212
Default

use a very similar system but bet for the place
often strike some very nice dividends
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 1st August 2018, 07:08 AM
Kingston Rule Kingston Rule is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 35
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by proxy
use a very similar system but bet for the place
often strike some very nice dividends

likewise
also consider in my exotics
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 6th August 2018, 06:14 AM
demodocus demodocus is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2010
Posts: 187
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Neil
This simple betting system has given a leg in to some great winners over the years.
1. The horse is having its third run in from a spell of at least 2 months.
2. The horse finished no better than 4th. in its first 2 runs.
3. It has won at least 3 races.
4. It has a winning strike rate of at least 33 1/3% - that is 1 win from every 3 starts.
Good luck.


Note the exhortation to "Good Luck". You'll need it.

The WSR of 33% is the dominant feature.
What it's first 2 runs (if it's a 5yr old) has to do with anything escapes me. If it means that the "first 2 runs of this post 'spell' campaign ...." then say so. In any event it makes little difference.
A spell is 84+ days, and (frankly) there is no effect (in this case) from Runs Since Break.

Here we go again down the "coincidence road" of a 'wrinkle'or 'possibility'.

Bet the Favourite mechanically and you'll lose 13% - 17% (over time), bet this system and you'll lose 17% - 25% (all the time). Yes, there is a period of two (very separate) months in the 10 year trial period where good money could have been made. But mostly you're going down the gurgler.

I look forward to the next systematic offering.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Forum Jump



All times are GMT +10. The time now is 02:49 PM.


Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2018, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
2008 OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved . ACN 091184655