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  #1  
Old 4th February 2011, 03:00 PM
Barny Barny is offline
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Default A decent selection method

Found this ...........

With all computer programs, selections of horse race tips and betting systems, most of them eventually fail.

Some just stay profitable longer than others. But, depending on what type of punter you are, you may be interested in having a look at this interesting racing system and having a play with it.
You may like to add in some of your own rules and stipulations.

The basics of this system are simple. There are only a few people who are associated with the horse in question and they are the ones who really know how well it is going. They know how fit it is going to be on race day, if the horse has been set for a race, right distance, track, jockey and so on.

This system is used by a Sydney professional who uses it along with his serious betting. It is one of those systems that may require some patience. It all depends on the number of race horses you are using.

The system...

1. You only select horses that are resuming or have not won a race this preparation.

2. You only select horses that are 3 years or older but no older than 7 years old.

3. You only select quality race horses that have had 10 career starts or more and have a winning percentage of 20 percent or more. Try to select horses that are trained in top stables that have a high winning percentage.

4. You have to select, say 10 horses that apply to these rules. (the number you select can vary, obviously the more you select, the more bets you will have).

5. You have to decide for yourself how much money you want to win on each selection.

If you want to win say $100.00 per horse, eg. If a horse you have selected starts at 4/1 and you want to win $100.00, you have to put $25.00 on it to win that amount. If the horse wins, you collect what you wanted to win and you then take the horse off the list. It has done its job.

If the horse loses, it now owes you a total of $125.00. ($100.00 you want to win, plus $25.00 you lost on bets) At its next start, it may start at 25/10, you then have to put $50.00 on it to to win your $125.00. If it loses, it now owes you a total of $175.00. So on and so on. You should have the gist of it by now.

6. After it wins you may then add another horse to your list so your list number stays constant. I think the secret to this system is to select quality city horses. As the Sydney pro says, only a few people know what race they are setting the horse for, how fit it is and when it is likely to win.

How many times have you seen quality race horses win at their first or second outing at odds of 10/1 or greater. The reason being is that most times these quality horses come to their peak and often find form quickly and surprise.

Most amateur punters are a little in the dark when it comes to some of these things, so if you back it every time to come out in front when it wins, you all end up winners. Sounds good on paper doesn't it.

7. If any of your selections are injured, goes for a spell prior to winning or something else you didn't foresee, you may take the horse off the list and select another horse to take its place.

Any outstanding lost bets on the horse that is taken from your list are of course placed on to the new horse to carry.








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Old 4th February 2011, 05:57 PM
Try Try Again Try Try Again is offline
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Hi Barny,

Are you going to use this approach in your betting arsenal?

Maybe we should look at setting up a general "Stable" between our contributors!

For starters from tomorrow's fields betting to win $10 per horse with bets rounded up and using current IAS price (5.50pm):-

M2#2 Kutchinsky price $10 bet $2
M2#4 Eraset price $4.20 bet $4
M6#2 Reward For Effort price $7.50 bet $2
M8#1 Vivid Vixen price $15 bet $1
S6#2 Love Conquers All price $3.20 bet $5

Any other horses we should consider?
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  #3  
Old 4th February 2011, 09:57 PM
Shaun Shaun is offline
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Default

I agree this is a winning system, the reason more people don't follow it is because it can be a long time between drinks.

You could add more horses so you are able to bet more often but people look at it this way.

You have $500 on a sat and got a winner so you are still down $400 people will consider this as a losing day but you have to think of it in terms of buying stocks, when you start a series of bets on one selection you have not won or lost until that series is finished so you could have funds tied up for several months until the runner wins.

if you are going to follow this method you need to set up individual banks for each runner, work out what you may need to cover the series of bets and allocate this amount from your betting banks.
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Old 4th February 2011, 11:08 PM
Mark Mark is offline
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"The basics of this system are simple. There are only a few people who are associated with the horse in question and they are the ones who really know how well it is going. They know how fit it is going to be on race day, if the horse has been set for a race, right distance, track, jockey and so on".

Load of old tosh.
A lot of trainers, jockeys etc don't know how well or conversely how bad their horse is going.
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Old 5th February 2011, 10:10 AM
Barny Barny is offline
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I recall the Herald Sun over the past few years having a "stable" during the Spring Carnival. They got some good winners but I don't think they won overall.

It might sound easy and straightforward.

I still come back to liking a well performed horse with a good strike rate, especially if they've come from WA, NZ or QLD to contest a decent race in Melbourne. They're worth putting in your stable for a few runs !
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  #6  
Old 6th February 2011, 07:56 AM
Bhagwan Bhagwan is offline
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I feel the basic stable concept can work.

The trick is to keep the stable size down to approx 10 or less so that it is manageable.

Once a stable runner has had a win , then another can be sort to add to the stable.

A simple method for selection of stable horses is target 10 horses that won their last start by 3+ lengths Last Start.

Bet their next 5 runs until a win then drop them.
Then add another to take its place in the stable.
If no win in next 5 runs , drop them.

Bet 2 2 3 4 5 = 16 units
Bank needed 160 units (10 horse stable x 16 units)
The reason we use this staking approach is that their prices can be shortish at times & using that other plan could prove very expensive if the wheels fall off.
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