Smartgambler
Pro-Punter

Go Back   OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums > Public Forums > Horse Race Betting Systems
User Name
Password
Register FAQ Search Today's Posts Mark all topics as read

To advertise on these
forums, e-mail us.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #1  
Old 18th May 2014, 06:34 AM
Rinconpaul Rinconpaul is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Feb 2013
Posts: 755
Question Do yourself a favour?

I was recently analysing some results and in the sample I came across an above average win strike rate group of horses. They were all lightly raced (<= 4 starts) resuming from a spell. Why is a horse spelled after only a few starts? More education, recover from injury, more growing up, who knows, but they win more than their fare share of races, upon return from that spell.

Do yourself a favour and research it, there are some profitable niches.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 18th May 2014, 09:41 AM
The Ocho The Ocho is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2010
Posts: 1,037
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Rinconpaul
I was recently analysing some results and in the sample I came across an above average win strike rate group of horses. They were all lightly raced (<= 4 starts) resuming from a spell. Why is a horse spelled after only a few starts? More education, recover from injury, more growing up, who knows, but they win more than their fare share of races, upon return from that spell.

Do yourself a favour and research it, there are some profitable niches.

Are you saying that's the niche or there's a niche somewhere inside those horses?
__________________
Never give up on a dream just because of the time it will take to accomplish it. The time will pass anyway.”

― Earl Nightingale
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 18th May 2014, 09:46 AM
Rinconpaul Rinconpaul is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Feb 2013
Posts: 755
Wink

niche...a distinct segment within a market
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 1st June 2014, 11:57 AM
mickthemiller mickthemiller is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2014
Posts: 16
Default

a "good" horse may be spelled after a few starts because the connections think that they are on to a "winner".

They believe that they can re-assess its career and achieve greater prizemoney in the future.
If it has very good performances in minor races early in its racing life, the connections will tend to place the horse in greater PM races upon returning.
If one can pin point these horses, with a return in a race which it is regaining fitness in the same class which it won earlier on. Bingo.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 1st June 2014, 05:57 PM
Chrome Prince Chrome Prince is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 4,365
Default

Often a horse that shows some ability will be spelled shortly thereafter just so it had some experience and can grow some muscle and cartilage, and when it returns, not be so green. In other cases, there may be heat or shin soreness, so put it out and let it grow. And if it's being distracted, and not a superstar. they geld it in the hopes it will settle down and and return without the hormones. Also they grow massively in stature post gelding. (young horses that is).
But of course lack a little something else
__________________
RaceCensus - powerful system testing software.
Now with over 399,000 Metropolitan, Provincial and Country races!
http://www.propun.com.au/horse_raci...ng_systems.html
*RaceCensus now updated to 31/03/2024
Video overview of RaceCensus here:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W821YP_b0Pg
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Forum Jump



All times are GMT +10. The time now is 12:57 AM.


Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
©2008 OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved . ACN 091184655