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  #1  
Old 14th November 2007, 07:51 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Wink Place system for testing?

Here's a Place system which hopefully someone with an appropriate data bank might wish to have a look at:

The rules are:
1 ) Sole 100-pointer on Unitab rankings.
2 ) Unplaced at last two starts.

I have had a look at racing since last Saturday applying these rules and the results are:

Saturday 10 Nov.
Flemington R9 no.11 - $3.30
Townsville R1 no.5 - $2.30
Townsville R2 no.14 - $2.90
Geelong R8 no.3 - $0.00
Morphetville R3 no.6 - $1.80
Morphetville R5 no.8 - $2.10
Ascot R5 no.8 - $0.00
Ascot R9 no.4- $0.00

Sunday.
Donald R8 no.13 - $3.20
Donald R4 no.1 - $1.70
Cranbourne R2 no.7 - $1.50
Mt Barker R2 no.3 - $0.00
Mt Barker R3 no.4 - $0.00
Mt Barker R4 no.7 - $0.00
Devenport R1 no.4 - $1.90
Devenport R3 no.2 - $2.00
Devenport R4 no.3 - $2.60

Monday.
Casterton R7 no.1 - $1.80
Casterton R8 no.1 - $0.00

Tuesday
Seymour R4 no.13 - $1.70.

By my reckoning, there were 20 selections for 13 placegetters for a return (unitab divvies) of $28.80. Interestingly, there were 5 selections from W. Aust and all were unplaced.

There were also 5 winners paying a total of $25.20.
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  #2  
Old 14th November 2007, 08:59 AM
Merriguy Merriguy is offline
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The way your brain works, Michael, never ceases to amaze me !! Talk about permutations and combinations.

Decided to try your idea on N.Z. races too (since last Friday in this case). The results were much the same: 6 places out of 10 races, with 3 winners!! UniTab: $13.00 return for the winners; $10.60 for the place.

Not as good for the place --- only 6% POT lol --- but such a small sample, of course (which has to be remembered).....still another possibility to make a dollar?!?!?
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  #3  
Old 14th November 2007, 09:40 AM
Merriguy Merriguy is offline
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Talking

Bula Baby just won the first in N.Z. $9.90/$4.80 Unitab !!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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  #4  
Old 14th November 2007, 10:20 AM
King Cugat King Cugat is offline
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data entry for this..............Party this sounds like a job for you!
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  #5  
Old 14th November 2007, 10:23 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Wink

Thanks, Merriguy for that info. As you say its only a small sample but its promising. The strike rate is surprising and the accuracy of Unitab's rankings (so far) is impressive. The high divvies are not really unexpected because not having placed at its last two starts, then punters generally might be unwilling to back them.

Today's selections, excluding N.Z. are:

Bendigo R7 no.15 - Delvene
Bendigo R10 no.9 - Saddler's Story
Balaklava R4 no.14 - Star Of The Stalls
Geraldton R1 no.6 - Hop On Pop
Geraldton R4 no.8 - Pro Dansk

Hopefully the W.A.(Geraldton) selections (and the others) will not bomb.
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  #6  
Old 14th November 2007, 10:43 AM
Ade Ade is offline
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Keep it up. I am very interested.
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  #7  
Old 14th November 2007, 11:06 AM
Merriguy Merriguy is offline
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I agree with your picks according to this idea, Michael. However the horse in Geraldton Race 1 is Classic Drop, not Hop on Pop.

The N.Z. qualifiers are (beside Bula Baby)

Race 7 No. 2 Woodbury Belle
Race 9 No. 9 Manten
Race 10 No. 14 Renzo (Linda Cropp riding!)

Have no idea about N.Z. races. Some long shots seem to get up regularly.
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  #8  
Old 14th November 2007, 11:29 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Wink

Merriguy, you are right - the selection for Geraldton R1 is Classic Drop.

Aplogies. Hopefully Hop On Pop (number 8) will not win.
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  #9  
Old 14th November 2007, 12:44 PM
crash crash is offline
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Only 100 pointer in field -with no place last 2 starts
BENDIGO (VR)
7/15 Delvene
10/9 Saddler's story
PT MACQUARIE (NR)
1/4 TINTALDRA x
2/2 DUSTIN'S MATE x
BALAKLAVA (AR)
3/1 GET STITCHED
4/14 STAR OF THE STALLS
RICCARTON (ZR)
1/14 BULA BABY 9.90 4.80
7/2 WOODBURY BELLE
9/9 MANTEN

Left out WA
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  #10  
Old 14th November 2007, 12:51 PM
nathanm-f nathanm-f is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by crash
Only 100 pointer in field -with no place last 2 starts
BENDIGO (VR)
7/15 Delvene
10/9 Saddler's story
PT MACQUARIE (NR)
1/4 TINTALDRA x
2/2 DUSTIN'S MATE x
BALAKLAVA (AR)
3/1 GET STITCHED
4/14 STAR OF THE STALLS
RICCARTON (ZR)
1/14 BULA BABY 9.90 4.80
7/2 WOODBURY BELLE
9/9 MANTEN

Left out WA

Woodburt belle is really low odds
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