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#11
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Bhagwan, I have had success with your 111,222,333,444 over the last 2 days, securing me an extra $90+ profit in comparison to level stakes with only a $225 increase in turnover. Impressed so far
I am considering capping the level increase at 4 & if & when it comes to it, sitting at that level until back in profit or the bank is reduced to 60%, when I will draw a line under the loss & restart. Bank is calculated at 60 units - being 1+1+1+2+2+2+3+3+3+4+4+4 = 30 * 2 = 60units Thoughts? Ps a few juicy overs in the Betfair place markets today didnt hurt either |
#12
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Quote:
Hi Shaun. I don't suppose you have an excel sheet (for Excel 2000)where you can work out the next bets based on the previous bet winning or losing? I'm not exactly savvy on the old excel but I was thinking of giving this a try over a few results that I've had recently with the place markets that didn't quite work out. Running it your way may be better. By the way, shouldn't the above be 10 bets and not 11. |
#13
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Sure will put something together for you and no 11 bets is correct for a parlay.
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#14
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No worries, thanks Shaun.
I always thought 6+3+1 = 10 but I stand corrected....lol. |
#15
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Hi Norisk,
Well done on those results. I guess there are a number of options one could entertain with that staking plan. and that option you suggested is a a sound as any. Usually that option only works if the plan shows a level stakes profit. The 3 Block staking does not rely on the plan showing a level stakes profit. With your selection plan , its an idea to know what its percentage SR is over approx 150 bets. Or several batches of 150 bets. Then you will be able to work out the theoretical run of outs will be by referring to that run of outs chart we posted. Then you will know what size bank you will need if the worst case scenario happens. I have used the 3 Block staking plan for a long time & it continues to show profits where at level stakes , one is struggling to break even. Can you say what your min price is? Can I ask what selection approach is being used? or if you prefer email at b.brian at optusnet dot com dot au
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Cheers. |
#16
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6 doubles
4 trebles 1 4 horse all up = 11 My mistake. |
#17
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Thanks Bhagwan,
The current strike rate is around 72% & price range is between $1.50 & $9.0 Betfair SP. It is showing a healthy profit at level stakes with tab odds & I consistently obtain over 20% extra profit after commission using the Betfair place market with stakes up to $100. Checking past results using your 111,222etc showed increased profit without a huge increase in stakes, which has proved out so far. The selection process is a bit convoluted, basically I create ratings for each race, convert those to prices & my selection is that horse under $9.0 which shows the greatest overs & passes a few basic filters. |
#18
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Hi Shaun, I'm finding it difficult to follow your 60% method if you have a loss. Are you saying that if the 1st bet losers (-$66) then you would continue the 4 bet parlay (another 3 bets) using 60% of the remaining $44 (which works out to be $26.40)? The remaining 3 bets in the sequence wouldn't get that much back. Or do you just start a new sequence if you have a loss with $66 again? I'm confused. |
#19
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The maths i used are something Bhagwan posted years ago that i remember.
The idea was to use the maths to place a 4 horse parlay on different races as most tabs only let you do it on the one venue. Testarosa used a similar idea but placed his bets manually but using the 4 horse parlay or similar. So what we have is a rolling set of bets that never ends, because this is not a strict 4 horse parlay you can decide on the amount you would bet for your parlay lets say 110 and because each new bet starts a new set of 4 races you would put 60% of your new bet plus all accumulated winnings on the next bet. Now because this is continuous we need some points where we collect winnings, i should be able to make an excel sheet to do this all you would need to do is put in a starting amount and winning prices. |
#20
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Does every one remember that Fortune on Four that was advertised for 30 something years.
They would claim that $10 could be leveraged to $100.00 by just all upping the place market on 4 Favs . Yeah right. The average div would have to be $1.80 to make that happen. It sounds easy doesnt it. Now try doing it for real . If one wants plenty of high paying place divs , for the Fav & 2nd Fav then the UK Dogs would have to be the best value I have ever seen. They have only 6 runners paying 2 divs for the place The fav nearly always pays $1.80-$2.00+ on Betfair And a number of the others in the race paying $3.00-5.00 Amazing.
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Cheers. |
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