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  #1  
Old 11th December 2007, 08:07 PM
Benny Benny is offline
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Post Analysing Data

I have collected the results of my ratings for the last year some 800 races rated.

I need a speadsheet to help analysie the results in view to coming up with a system based on the top 3 in the ratings. The areas I'm looking at with regards to number of races, number of wins, strike rate and av div for each of the following. Starting Price, barrier, distance, track condition and area, Country, Metro and Provincial.

Each heading is in a seperate section.
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  #2  
Old 14th December 2007, 08:26 PM
stugots stugots is offline
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Thumbs up adult education

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  #3  
Old 16th December 2007, 06:51 PM
moeee moeee is offline
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Nice one stugots.
The LORD helps those that help themselves.
And a fool reaches out a hand to another fool that found himself in a pool of quicksand.
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  #4  
Old 17th December 2007, 04:24 PM
crash crash is offline
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Cool

Considering there is probably over 600 pieces of stats. [stat. 231: horse no.7 had a 2kg dump before entering the starting gates and is now racing 2kg lighter. Stat 49: the jockey on no.4 had a big blue with his girlfriend last night and only had 2hrs sleep ect, ect] for any given race, the fraction of those you can get [or buy] that are known are like stats for tattslotto ...useless.

Learn to do the form and save yourself years of heartache. If you reckon you can already 'do the form' and need to branch out to past overall years of stats. to find a winning 'formula', your kidding yourself. All those stats will say is 'sucker'.

Many say that 'formula' works. A formula that genuinely works is a license to print money. My question for them is, if they have one that works, why are they always inventing new ones?

Last edited by crash : 17th December 2007 at 04:42 PM.
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  #5  
Old 17th December 2007, 05:32 PM
Chrome Prince Chrome Prince is offline
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Isn't doing the form part of a formula?
Aren't stats part of doing the form?
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  #6  
Old 17th December 2007, 05:36 PM
Chrome Prince Chrome Prince is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by crash
Many say that 'formula' works. A formula that genuinely works is a license to print money. My question for them is, if they have one that works, why are they always inventing new ones?


Simple answer: because it is very hard to make money no matter how good your formula or form skills are because of the market percentage bet into.
You can make money, but there just aren't enough opportunites to make enough money.
Ergo, we keep inventing new methods to ADD to the existing arsenal
The more turnover we can achieve the more mula
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Now with over 400,000 Metropolitan, Provincial and Country races!
http://www.propun.com.au/horse_raci...ng_systems.html
*RaceCensus now updated to 30/04/2024
Video overview of RaceCensus here:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W821YP_b0Pg
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  #7  
Old 17th December 2007, 06:10 PM
crash crash is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Chrome Prince
Isn't doing the form part of a formula?
Aren't stats part of doing the form?


What a load of crap Chrome.
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  #8  
Old 17th December 2007, 06:18 PM
Chrome Prince Chrome Prince is offline
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Ooooooooooooook then.
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Now with over 400,000 Metropolitan, Provincial and Country races!
http://www.propun.com.au/horse_raci...ng_systems.html
*RaceCensus now updated to 30/04/2024
Video overview of RaceCensus here:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W821YP_b0Pg
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  #9  
Old 17th December 2007, 06:27 PM
crash crash is offline
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The point you miss, is that doing form has a fair amount of 'art' involved. Those that have it do very well. Those that don't [and I can think of many professional commentators that are brilliant with their knowledge of form-line ect.] are hopeless tipsters.

That 'art' can never be part of a mechanical system. It's an esoteric ... something.
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  #10  
Old 17th December 2007, 06:47 PM
Chrome Prince Chrome Prince is offline
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Guess that's the way you do it, the art of assessment requires decision - making based on factors and comparisons. It's probably more the inherent ability to recognise or know what to look for.

Frankly, I couldn't be bothered with it myself, I'm sure many get personal pleasure out of correctly assessing a winner at good odds and making the subsequent cash, I'd rather know that the market is the most accurate guide and concentrate on the creme of the crowd-picked crop, and putting all my energy into getting the best price possible.

Sure the crowd as a conglomerate are losers, but their ratings are spot on

It's just the preference and different punting personalities, if you make it pay longterm crash, then it is an art I'm envious of, I just wouldn't have the time or patience.
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RaceCensus - powerful system testing software.
Now with over 400,000 Metropolitan, Provincial and Country races!
http://www.propun.com.au/horse_raci...ng_systems.html
*RaceCensus now updated to 30/04/2024
Video overview of RaceCensus here:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W821YP_b0Pg
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