Smartgambler
Pro-Punter

Go Back   OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums > Public Forums > Horse Race Betting Systems
User Name
Password
Register FAQ Search Today's Posts Mark all topics as read

To advertise on these
forums, e-mail us.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #1  
Old 29th August 2004, 01:00 PM
shoto shoto is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Brisbane
Posts: 126
Default

Is there a good target or other staking system for place betting? (ie not all-up staking)

There was something around a while ago called Oscar's something - don't know what it was. Can some target approach work effectively with place divies?
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 29th August 2004, 01:43 PM
partypooper partypooper is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Nov 1999
Location: Western Australia
Posts: 2,391
Default

Shoto, my main betting is for the place (always maxi-divi) level stakes.

But I also run (in tandem) a staking plan as follows:
Start with a bank of 10 bets so if the stake is $100, then a bank of $1000 to start.

The stake is 10% of the bank NEVER REDUCING, so for instance, say after a few bets your bank is $1200 then the stake is $120 and stays there until the bank is greater than $1200.

I've doubled my bank several times over, but then got cold feet and withdrew the cash and stated again with 10 bet bank.

Of course you need a selection method or strike rate around the 80% mark and a level stakes profit to start with.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 30th August 2004, 06:18 PM
shoto shoto is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Brisbane
Posts: 126
Default

Thanks, PP. Sounds like it would work very well. 10% of the bank never reducing means you're only 10 bets away from bust, but with an 80% SR a run of 10 outs would be unlikely. To warm those cold feet when the bets were bigger, you could run a back-up bank as well, so you had to double both banks before moving up. Would halve your rate of progress of course but would double the safety level.

At the moment I consistently get about a SR just under 70% with av divs about $1.45, which gives me almost a break even situation. The tricky part is getting the %ages up a little further without affecting the divs.

With a SR under 70% and without a level stakes profit I don't think a set level of the bank would be the way to go. An 80% SR is harder than it might sound - that is indeed fine shooting!
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 30th August 2004, 06:42 PM
Merriguy Merriguy is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 609
Default

This is probably what you are referring to, Shoto.

This is an 'up-as-you-win' betting system. With Oscar's Grind, you bet the same amount following a loss and increase your bet by one unit following a win. As the system progresses, the caveat is that you should never bet more than what you need to recoup prior losses plus a one unit profit. This system first appeared in Allan Wilson's classic book "The Casino Gambler's Guide".

Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 30th August 2004, 07:29 PM
shoto shoto is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Brisbane
Posts: 126
Default

Thanks Merriguy. That must be what had been lurking in the memory banks. I imagine up when you win would be safe, but slow. Perhaps that's the 'grind' part.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 30th August 2004, 07:32 PM
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Default

I have just started going 1 unit by 2 units Saturday was my first go at this it is simple but like any thing depends on quality of selection or racing luck!




Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 31st August 2004, 12:46 AM
partypooper partypooper is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Nov 1999
Location: Western Australia
Posts: 2,391
Default

shoto, Sorry but I can not divulge just how to achieve 80% S/R. But I can tell you that I am getting better than that at an average divi of just under $1.50.

But, just let me say that you could start with RATINGS based selections, these could be your own or "professional" ratings.

What I am saying is that you have to be amongst the winners to start with!!!
Lets say that you subscribe to a "well known ratings service" with a Win S/R of better than 30%, and a place S/R of better than 65%, so you know from the outset that the worst you can do is 65%.

OK so now you apply your favourite filters, and through trial and error, you gradually achieve your goal (ie PROFIT)

eg.
50% place S/R
raced within 21 days
win in exposed form (last 4 runs)
no bet 2nd up IF won 1st up.

Raced within 100m of todays distance (last 3 runs) OR be a distance winner

NO BET IF RIDDEN BY A 3kg CLAIMER

NO Bet jumps or races for fillies and mares only or apprentices only.

Must be riding within 3.5 kg's of set weight last run + or -

Must have been within 3.5 lenghts of winner (last run)

the rest is up to you!!
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 31st August 2004, 10:18 PM
shoto shoto is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Brisbane
Posts: 126
Default

Good stuff, PP. I know you were pointing me in that direction a few weeks ago - it's appreciated.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Forum Jump



All times are GMT +10. The time now is 01:11 PM.


Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
©2008 OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved . ACN 091184655