Smartgambler
Pro-Punter

Go Back   OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums > Public Forums > Horse Race Betting Systems
User Name
Password
Register FAQ Search Today's Posts Mark all topics as read

To advertise on these
forums, e-mail us.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #61  
Old 26th December 2007, 03:54 PM
crash crash is offline
Suspended.
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: gippsland lakes/vic
Posts: 5,104
Smile

Chrome is right. If he wasn't, every bookie and Casino in the World would be out of business!

Still, gullible mug punters line up to believe in and even buy, loss into profit 'gold' systems, sprouted by rogue system sellers and 'faith' believers, who really do believe 2+2 =5. Bookies and Casinos really love this lot of dills.
Reply With Quote
  #62  
Old 26th December 2007, 04:02 PM
pengo pengo is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 219
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by topsy99
i remember about 30 years ago meeting a fellow that had bought "the gold system" . it was based on an american idea which randomly has a lot of appearl but would test the commitment of the user. i never used it but it may actually work.

this system was simply to back the longest priced last start winner in a race.


that is all.
if you recall over the past spring carnival a few bottlers got up.

and i suppose they get up every day. i recall over the past month i have backed trimvision twice at double figure odds (west aust) after he won the start before.
(not based on the gold system) i think trimvision has won 4 on end now the last as a short priced favorite.


Thats an interesting idea, based on the stats on winners and their final odds this might be profitable. I'm going to try it "on paper" over the next couple weeks and see how I fair. I don't know if you saw my thread but I tracked the winners and their final odds from Dec1-Dec22nd and found that there were quite a few winners with odds of $26. My logic being that its worthwhile because if you bet 1 unit, you only need to hit every 25th bet for it to be profitable.
Reply With Quote
  #63  
Old 26th December 2007, 04:16 PM
pengo pengo is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 219
Default

The BESTEST GOLD SYSTEM EVAR v1337

Selection Criteria:
. Last start finished 1st
. Showing the highest odds for a win, using IASBET Fixed Price Win.
. If more than one selection, bet on both.

CAULFIELD
Race 6: 13-TAOS PLEASURE (2), $41. (LOL!)
Race 7: 5-OUR SPUR (1), $26
Race 8: 14-ETON (2), $9.00

--------------------
Go for Broke Gold System v666.

Selection Criteria:
. 3 selections (where possible)
. Last start finished 1st
. Showing the highest odds for a win, using IASBET Fixed Price Win.
. If more than one selection has the same odds, select one more horse with the next highest odds.

CAULFIELD
Race 6: 13-TAOS PLEASURE (2) $41, 1-COCINERO $11, 12-STAR ROSE (7) $9
Race 7: 5-OUR SPUR (1), $26, 4-YOUTHS EDGE (8) $15, 10-LECTRICE (9) $9
Race 8: 14-ETON (2) $9.00

Lets see how we go!

Last edited by pengo : 26th December 2007 at 04:23 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #64  
Old 26th December 2007, 04:35 PM
crash crash is offline
Suspended.
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: gippsland lakes/vic
Posts: 5,104
Smile

Star Rose to win !
Reply With Quote
  #65  
Old 26th December 2007, 05:37 PM
pengo pengo is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 219
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by crash
Star Rose to win !


Nope! but one of the selections did come in.. Will post the final results etc after race 8 has run.
Reply With Quote
  #66  
Old 26th December 2007, 06:06 PM
pengo pengo is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 219
Default CAULFIELD RESULTS

The BESTEST GOLD SYSTEM EVAR v1337
CAULFIELD
Race 6: UNPAID
Race 7: UNPAID
Race 8: UNPAID

Bet 3
Return 0
P/L -3
---------------------

Go for Broke Gold system v666
CAULFIELD
Race 6: 1-COCINERO $11,
Race 7: UNPAID
Race 8: UNPAID

Bet 7
Return 11
P/L 4

-----------------------
for my information
Race 6: C NEWITT/ROBBIE GRIFFITHS
Race 7: D NIKOLIC/RODNEY DOUGLAS
Race 8: DEAN HOLLAND/ROBERT SMERDON
Reply With Quote
  #67  
Old 26th December 2007, 07:15 PM
topsy99 topsy99 is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: geeveston
Posts: 702
Default

take it quietly i got miss badoura and cocinera i missed out on lectrice and our spur.
but was okay day.
but i wouldnt be taking short odds on anything many horses are not really likely to win two in a row.
son of spartacus and ima khan in bunbury were under the odds and bits of hacks.
sydney was a poor meeting didnt bet.
let adelaide r7 go as too difficult only listed last start winner was green machine and he qualified in 2004 which was too long ago.
bet of the day was cocinera with a last start listed win to his credit.
__________________
laurie
Reply With Quote
  #68  
Old 26th December 2007, 09:40 PM
pengo pengo is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 219
Default

if you rekon a horse is unlikely to go 2 in a row, would it be better to look at horses that have placed 2nd, 3rd and firth? Maybe look at the margin they lost by?
Reply With Quote
  #69  
Old 26th December 2007, 09:51 PM
lomaca lomaca is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 1,096
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by pengo
if you rekon a horse is unlikely to go 2 in a row, would it be better to look at horses that have placed 2nd, 3rd and firth? Maybe look at the margin they lost by?


Is it perchance that you are slowly approaching handicapping maybe?
If so, Welcome brother, and may the form and class, guide you to your financial dreams.
Good luck

Last edited by lomaca : 26th December 2007 at 10:00 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #70  
Old 26th December 2007, 10:00 PM
wesmip1 wesmip1 is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 1,601
Default

Iomeca,

Favs return around 86-90% with a strike rate of around 30%. I do not know any staking method that could (in practice) turn that type of loss with such a low strike rate into a profit. That would just be crazy.

But progressive staking plans do work with some systems/selection techniques (even if they are showing a small loss).

Good Luck.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Forum Jump



All times are GMT +10. The time now is 01:59 PM.


Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
©2008 OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved . ACN 091184655