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  #1  
Old 24th May 2011, 12:49 PM
Barny Barny is offline
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Default Pre-Post .... I'm a believer

I thought PREPOST was only true in fairy tales
Meant for someone else but not for me.
It’s a recurring factor
That’s the way it is
Winners between 4’s and 10’s PP, so it seems.

Then I grabbed my cash, now I'm a believer
Not a trace of doubt in my mind.
I'm a PP, I'm a believer!
I couldn't filter out PP if I tried.

I thought drifters was more or less a value thing,
Seems the more it drifted tho’ the less I got.
Then I looked at firmers
All you get is cash.
Add this to PP’s and you can only gain

Then I grabbed my cash, now I'm a believer
Not a trace of doubt in my mind.
I'm a PP, I'm a believer!
I couldn't filter out PP if I tried.
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  #2  
Old 24th May 2011, 03:14 PM
peter m peter m is offline
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Talking

Getting some good vibrations from this Barny. I think similar ideas have been put forwards before...anyway... wouldn't it be nice, but God only knows. Hope I'm not just a daydream believer.
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  #3  
Old 24th May 2011, 05:31 PM
peter m peter m is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by peter m
Getting some good vibrations from this Barny. I think similar ideas have been put forwards before...anyway... wouldn't it be nice, but God only knows. Hope I'm not just a daydream believer.
Ooops, sorry wrong band, 'bout time to get on the last train to Clarksville
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  #4  
Old 24th May 2011, 09:59 PM
The Ocho The Ocho is offline
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Stop monkeeing around

Now we're getting back to that untrained monkey thread.
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  #5  
Old 25th May 2011, 01:20 AM
Chrome Prince Chrome Prince is offline
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  #6  
Old 25th May 2011, 02:47 AM
partypooper partypooper is offline
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Careful its not Urang "UTANG" it means debt in Filipino
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  #7  
Old 25th May 2011, 09:55 AM
beton beton is offline
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I remember that Mark posted a thread some years ago re firmers on opening prices.
I am thinking off the cuff here and out loud. This is to encourage some positive debate here. If the prepost market in one form or another produces an 80% plus strike rate in the top 5 (it seems that it does not matter which source so long as it is consistent) and the tote produces a similar result in the top 5 favorites, (not necessarily the same horses) and the winner is usually (noticibly better than 50%) then in a rudimentry form we could do the following. Take the top 5 prepost and back them at the best prices that we can get. Then lay those same 5 (or the top fav on tote) at the starting price.
Where it counts the price should be shorter. Swings and roundabouts over time it should be in the positive.
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  #8  
Old 25th May 2011, 12:59 PM
Barny Barny is offline
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beton, I'd never taken any notice of pre-post for many logical reasons. But the facts suggest that pre-post odds are an excellent filter. All the logical reasons you could put forward to discount using pre-post prices can be defeated with data suggesting otherwise.

There are arguments about the office boy doing the odds ..... there are arguments suggesting the papers generate their odds using data in a computer ..... there are arguments to suggest that the Pre-post odds are at 140%, and are bound to shorten when the market runs at 115% .....

Pre-post between $4 and $10, if they open shorter, is worthy of keeping data.
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  #9  
Old 25th May 2011, 07:20 PM
partypooper partypooper is offline
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Just 2 cents worth, as I've studied PP prices over a number of years, my conclusion (like others) is its not so much case of PRICE accuracy, but it is a very strong indicator of the likely winner!
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