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Based on over 5,000 selections, over 70% of city class horses win within five starts if they have won at least one metropolitan race previously in their career.
The average winning price is $7.11 The most long priced winners all come from horses which did NOT run a place at their previous start. Of those longpriced winners (over 20/1), over 80% only ran out of a place a maximum twice in their last 5 starts. The winning horses that ran a place at their previous start had an average winning price of $4.60. 40% of horses which won within five starts also won more than one race. E.G. 14321 or 16115. Maybe some might find this another useful approach. I actually took a formguide and went through it with a fine-toothed comb. If you had backed every single horse running in every metropolitan race, in every state, for it's previous 5 starts...(including the donkeys and excluding maidens and hurdlers), You would have made a small profit! Astounding. With the correct class of horses, and a good staking plan to multiply the winnings, you could make a very good profit. For those curious, my stable system is showing a skinny profit with the 80 horses previously selected in my posting only having an average of less than two runs each. Because I had many adverse comments about it, I won't post weekly selections, but will post the final results in table form which can be verified using Ozeform horse query and the TAB results. (VIC DIVIDENDS) |
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