Hi team,

A quick query on age related matters.

Do you believe limiting your investments to commodities aged <=6yo is a wise way to go?

Or perhaps if they're older than 6, they must have had no more than 40 starts max?

I'd be interested in any feedback!

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The Schmile

"I buy when other people are selling.”
― J. Paul Getty

A longshot system I run shows it's best results in the age bracket 5yo-7yo, with 8yo-10yo acceptable, while 4yo & under is the big loser.

Pointy end probably suits those 6yo & under.

I totally agree stugots

Hi mate

Older horse ie 7 years upwards, can be a real headaches for system analysts. I use a win to runs percentage rule, eg 80 starts must have won 20 and marginally less percentage required it it may only have had 30 or 40 starts. A good example is in Melbourne on Saturday. 'Another Prelate' is 99% in my system but the age and percentage of wins puts him right on the borderline. 'Spacecraft' is also close but is eliminated on weight. What I do on such occasions is to halve my bet on both horses so as not to totally miss out by not backing a winner, or conversely be satisfied with a smaller win.

Cheers
Dave

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When I want to understand what is happening today or try to decide what will happen tomorrow, I look back... Omar Khayyam-1099

Interesting comments thus far, thank you kind folk for weighing in on the debate!

I have a few different methods I'm testing at the moment and it has been profitable leaving out the >=8yo's. I'm looking for further testing regarding the 7yo bracket.

Any further ideas/comments duly encouraged!

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The Schmile

"I buy when other people are selling.”
― J. Paul Getty

TheSchmile, are you aware of the where the words come from in the title of the thread you have used?

Hi Shifty,

I am aware. Apologies if you found it in bad taste, it wasn't my intention. I've asked the moderators to amend if possible.

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The Schmile

"I buy when other people are selling.”
― J. Paul Getty

We all should know where it comes from, but what is there to take offence at??

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Jose'.

Totally agree. The diggers all liked a punt... and it was used in a complimentary way.

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When I want to understand what is happening today or try to decide what will happen tomorrow, I look back... Omar Khayyam-1099

The potential for disrespect, perhaps.. as unintended as it was. Hence the follow up response from TS.

LG

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The trick isn't finding profitable angles, it's finding ones you will bet through the ups and downs - UB