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#21
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Lovin' this Vortech. When doing the form I used to make note the same thing using the Wizard years ago. Now do it with R&S. |
#22
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Like your sense of realism macs. Many in your position would think they've found the pot of gold at the end of the rainbow. Good luck with your pursuit. |
#23
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Umm - Thirty seven? |
#24
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Over a long period racing's CYCLICAL moeee, and running just one system is a cerain way to lose. When you have the inevitable run of outs you'll either bail too early through 'fright' or you'll go down with the ship, or you'll alter the rules to suit the current environment, only to discover that the system returns to the long term trend. See the financial markets for an example of a CYCLICAL nature moeee. You've got no safety net moeee so if your system starts to trend differently, you wont know if it's permanent, or short term, and that's a recipe for financial disaster. macs has the perfect scenario here I believe. He has approx 20 bets per year for each specifically targetted system (I assume the rules are logical and consistent), and the number of systems allows him to monitor them individually and collectively and ride out the rough times when a few systems turn bad, only to find that are few others outperform. Monitoring these systems as a group will also throw up data from many varied sources (obviously 'coz you've got many different rules over the 37 systems) and useful information covering the whole gammit of racing can be analysed. It's so much better than analysing just one set of rules moeee. It's like talking to a house brick ..... |
#25
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I understand now Barny.
I didn't understand before. I wasn't aware that the 78% POT was over a year span with only 56 bets. 56 bets? - I prolly have 56 bets in a week - prolly more. 56 bets is hardly an appropriate sample size. But nobody except me and Bernie seem to understand that. Its like talking to a house brick... |
#26
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What's an appropriate sample size and under what conditions would this sample size be a reliable predictor for the future moeee ?? |
#27
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It may well turn out to be the first 56 bets in a sample of 3000 that is proven to work. If so, the 78% POT figure would be sure to drop, to state the obvious. Point being, while the 56 bet sample size is not enough to prove anything with any confidence into the future, there is some chance it may work. macs said it was a winning system and it is, for now. macs did not say it is a long term winning system from what my eyes saw. That is obviously to be proven or otherwise down the track. I hope it continues to work for macs. |
#28
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#29
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Out of interest. Not exactly a pot of gold like 2012 results but profit is profit and it's great to see systems still perform that were put together years ago with all the changes in racing.
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#30
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26/12/2012
Caulfield Race 5 H 7
Vain Attraction |
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