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  #11  
Old 24th August 2012, 02:06 PM
Barny Barny is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Vortech
There was an good system I had on my laptop which backed the TAB 1 from Barrier one at certain track/distances

The Barrier one had a bias advantage particularly over the 1000m.

If interested I can send through the track/distances.

Roy Higgins said he'd take Barrier ONE anyday, even in the Melbourne to Warnambool bike race. An under-rated filter.
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  #12  
Old 24th August 2012, 03:06 PM
The Ocho The Ocho is offline
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UB's Barrier 1 stats

There were 100159 horse form lines in the database at this point in time. We update when we get time.

There were 8751 selections for the System
There were 8746 races for the System
There were 1055 Winners for the System for a strike rate of 12.06%
There were $7995.17 returned for WIN (after 5% commission) which means a Profit or loss of $-755.83 or a percentage profit/loss of -8.64%

Test Another System

The Rules used were : barrier = 1
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  #13  
Old 24th August 2012, 03:25 PM
bernie bernie is offline
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But The Ocho, if barrier 1 is the favourite in non maiden races we get a positive result.



There were 100159 horse form lines in the database at this point in time. We update when we get time.

There were 755 selections for the System
There were 755 races for the System
There were 277 Winners for the System for a strike rate of 36.69%
There were $806.63 returned for WIN (after 5% commission) which means a Profit or loss of $51.63 or a percentage profit/loss of 6.84%


The Rules used were : barrier = 1 and priceRank < 90 and priceRank = 1 and careerWins >= 1

.
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  #14  
Old 25th August 2012, 12:23 AM
Pete the punter Pete the punter is offline
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I have used Bernie's method below DS=1, NR=1, DLS <=21
I have left out maidens, races where horses have never had a start and races with less than 8 runners

picks for Saturday 25/8 are

Belmont Rc3
Belmont Rc4
Doomben Rc4
Gold Coast Rc5
Newcastle Rc6
Newcastle Rc8

Let's see how they go for interest sake.

Pete
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  #15  
Old 25th August 2012, 08:18 AM
aussielongboat aussielongboat is offline
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I've always ( probably wrongly) held the view that a bad barrier just improves the price.
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  #16  
Old 25th August 2012, 08:33 AM
Vortech
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Quote:
Originally Posted by aussielongboat
I've always ( probably wrongly) held the view that a bad barrier just improves the price.

And why Barriers 20 to 24 have the lowest strike rates but have a positive POT
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  #17  
Old 25th August 2012, 11:37 AM
ubetido ubetido is offline
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Vortech

Would be interested in the tracks that have a BARRIER ONE bias. Have done some research myself on this. Interested to see if we agree with tracks.

Regards
U
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  #18  
Old 25th August 2012, 02:08 PM
Barny Barny is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The Ocho
UB's Barrier 1 stats

There were 100159 horse form lines in the database at this point in time. We update when we get time.

There were 8751 selections for the System
There were 8746 races for the System
There were 1055 Winners for the System for a strike rate of 12.06%
There were $7995.17 returned for WIN (after 5% commission) which means a Profit or loss of $-755.83 or a percentage profit/loss of -8.64%

Test Another System

The Rules used were : barrier = 1

It's not possible to have more selections than races for barrier 1.
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  #19  
Old 25th August 2012, 02:57 PM
beton beton is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Barny
It's not possible to have more selections than races for barrier 1.

Most likely late scratchings.
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  #20  
Old 25th August 2012, 09:21 PM
Vortech
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ubetido
Vortech

Would be interested in the tracks that have a BARRIER ONE bias. Have done some research myself on this. Interested to see if we agree with tracks.

Regards
U

I'm trying to find the data on my laptop
I know Doomben 1000m was one.
I basically used R&S and the barrier stats
The 1000m there is a 10% stronger strike rate than any other barrier.
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