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  #1  
Old 12th March 2018, 10:04 AM
Thenewguy Thenewguy is offline
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Default Skyform Lays

Hereís a system I had some success with years ago but for some reason dropped it so presumably did my you not what.

Using Skyform ratings, we will lay the favourite in all races where the skyform rating top 4 are 90 and above. As a side lay we will lay all the 100 raters in those races. (One of the 100 raters yesterday in Canberra paid 30 on BSP).

We will lay the favourite irrespective of whether or not it is included in the top 4 ratings. All field sizes. Lay regardless of scratchings. Lay to liability $100.00 using BSP.

Todayís Races:

Ballarat Races 6 & 7
Mackay Race 7
Morphetville Races 3 4 8 & 9
Coonamble Races 3 4 5 6 & 7
Hobart Races 5 & 7
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  #2  
Old 12th March 2018, 10:41 AM
Lord Greystoke Lord Greystoke is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Thenewguy
As a side lay we will lay all the 100 raters in those races. (One of the 100 raters yesterday in Canberra paid 30 on BSP).


Yup .. some of those 100 raters pay handsomely. Especially when they are just out of focus of the crowd.

LG
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Many punters on here can make money just looking at the prices of the horses without having a clue on the form analysis - Vortech
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  #3  
Old 12th March 2018, 07:08 PM
Thenewguy Thenewguy is offline
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Both systems profitable today.

Laying the favourites resulted in all wins except Coonamble 4 & 7 as well as Hobart 7. Winning lays of $330.92 less the 3 losses $300.00 made a profit of $30.92 less commission. Success rate of 78.5% winning lays.

Laying the top rated resulted in a better profit with only 2 losses being Coonamble 5 and Hobart 7. Winning lays of $293.42 less the 2 losses $200.00 leaving a profit of $93.42 less commission. Success rate of nearly 86% winning lays.

Iíll give this a run tomorrow as well.
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  #4  
Old 12th March 2018, 08:54 PM
Thenewguy Thenewguy is offline
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Got an early start tomorrow so will post tomorrow races now.

Coffs Races 2 3 6 & 7
Bendigo 3 & 6
Cessnock 4 5 6 & 7
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  #5  
Old 12th March 2018, 09:11 PM
UselessBettor UselessBettor is offline
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Nice work.
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  #6  
Old 13th March 2018, 07:25 PM
Thenewguy Thenewguy is offline
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Todayís results.

Copped a hammering in laying the favourites for 8 successful lays but 4 losers for a loss of -$93.01.

One of the losing lays was at 1.51 which I am always in two minds about whether I should filter them out. Yesterday there was 2 successful lays one at 1.97 and one at 2.01 which helps the profit immensely when they lose. Maybe I need to filter from 1.80.

Laying the 100 rated was exactly the opposite with 11 successful lays and no losses and Cessnock race 6 the top rated was withdrawn. Profit was $307.63.

Iíll keep this going for a week or so and see how it pans out. I have used the 1st system some years ago and it was successful for a period and then the losses came and the overall profit was dropping when I dumped it before the inevitable. Iím pretty sure I ran it with a minimum of 10 runners. Unfortunately I kept pretty poor records back in those days compared to what I do now so I canít really go back and compare.
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  #7  
Old 13th March 2018, 07:29 PM
Thenewguy Thenewguy is offline
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Tomorrow races

Warwick Farm races 3 6 7 & 8
Sandown races 3 4 5 6 7 & 8
Doomben races 1 6 7 & 8
Naracoorte 4 & 7
Ascot 2 4 5 6 7 & 8
Launceston 1 & 7

Iím using the bot in simulation mode so those results for today included the commission.
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  #8  
Old 15th March 2018, 08:00 PM
Thenewguy Thenewguy is offline
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I didnít get a chance to update yesterdays (Wednesdays) races.

Massive loss with System 1 with 11 Favourites out of 23 getting up including 4 in a row before the last 5 race. Loss of -$794.22

System 2 laying the 100 rated was a polar opposite with only 3 getting up leaving 20 successful lays. Profit was $190.75. 2 of those that got up were the 2nd and 3rd last race otherwise another $350 could be added to the profit.

I missed todays races due to being a shift worker and just could not get it organised. I might go through it tonite on paper and see how it would have went and post later tonite or tomorrow.
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  #9  
Old 15th March 2018, 10:10 PM
Thenewguy Thenewguy is offline
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Todayís results from 13 races, with one race having a selection below 1.5 for both systems. System 1 the favourites are back with a profit of $190.53 with 10 winning lays.

System 2 went the other way with 4 winning lays with a loss of $153.67.
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