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#51
14th July 2012, 12:33 PM
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Crowd Ratings July 14th
Belmont to follow.
MORP Race 3 1 100 $4.00 2 64 $36.30 3 --- --- 4 97 $4.30 5 99 $4.10 6 81 $7.50 7 81 $7.50 8 --- --- 9 69 $17.00 10 60 $392.10 11 --- --- 12 --- --- 13 66 $25.00 MORP Race 5 1 --- --- 2 100 $3.50 3 86 $5.40 4 78 $7.70 5 74 $9.90 6 98 $3.70 7 78 $7.70 8 78 $7.70 9 67 $19.20 10 78 $7.70 11 64 $32.20 12 60 $348.00 MORP Race 6 1 69 $14.00 2 --- --- 3 72 $10.60 4 84 $5.40 5 93 $4.00 6 --- --- 7 --- --- 8 100 $3.30 9 81 $6.20 10 60 $323.50 MORP Race 7 1 88 $5.10 2 71 $12.60 3 89 $4.90 4 100 $3.60 5 79 $7.40 6 86 $5.50 7 75 $9.30 8 --- --- 9 79 $7.40 10 78 $7.80 11 72 $11.60 12 78 $7.80 13 66 $22.50 14 60 $352.90 MORP Race 8 1 100 $2.60 2 --- --- 3 --- --- 4 79 $5.40 5 71 $9.10 6 77 $6.00 7 62 $43.20 8 60 $254.90 9 74 $7.20 10 72 $8.40
__________________
Pixie "It's worth remembering that profit isn't profit until it's spent off the racecourse." -- Crash 
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#52
14th July 2012, 02:31 PM
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Crowd Ratings July 14th
BLMT Race 3 1 91 $5.30 2 80 $8.20 3 91 $5.30 4 100 $4.10 5 81 $7.80 6 85 $6.60 7 83 $7.10 8 70 $16.00 9 60 $409.30 10 84 $6.80 11 61 $118.60 12 98 $4.30 BLMT Race 4 1 --- --- 2 95 $4.50 3 62 $66.50 4 64 $36.30 5 --- --- 6 75 $10.40 7 60 $392.10 8 98 $4.20 9 84 $6.60 10 100 $4.00 11 80 $7.80 12 81 $7.50 13 68 $19.00 BLMT Race 5 1 82 $6.20 2 75 $9.10 3 79 $7.20 4 100 $3.50 5 82 $6.20 6 85 $5.50 7 77 $8.00 8 76 $8.50 9 84 $5.70 10 --- --- 11 87 $5.10 12 60 $343.10 13 --- --- 14 67 $18.90 15 69 $14.90 BLMT Race 6 1 --- --- 2 98 $4.60 3 96 $4.80 4 91 $5.60 5 85 $6.90 6 88 $6.20 7 88 $6.20 8 100 $4.30 9 80 $8.60 10 64 $39.70 11 73 $13.10 12 66 $27.30 13 79 $9.00 14 60 $428.90 15 69 $18.60 16 75 $11.40 BLMT Race 7 1 84 $7.50 2 73 $13.70 3 100 $4.50 4 100 $4.50 5 83 $7.80 6 98 $4.80 7 98 $4.80 8 68 $21.80 9 85 $7.20 10 62 $76.00 11 60 $448.50 12 61 $130.00 13 65 $33.80 14 78 $9.90 15 66 $28.60 16 81 $8.60 BLMT Race 8 1 79 $7.00 2 89 $4.60 3 100 $3.40 4 68 $16.20 5 64 $30.90 6 72 $11.00 7 78 $7.40 8 67 $18.40 9 61 $96.60 10 74 $9.40 11 67 $18.40 12 60 $333.30 13 78 $7.40 14 88 $4.80 15 66 $21.20 16 63 $39.90
__________________
Pixie "It's worth remembering that profit isn't profit until it's spent off the racecourse." -- Crash
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#53
14th July 2012, 08:13 PM
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Results July 14th
Not a bad day with one of the top five winning in 22 of the 27 (81.5%) assessed races. Pretty close to the market average. A nice overlay or two to be had also.
 The accumulative results for the day follow. 1) 7 from 27 (26%) 2) 13 from 27 (48%) 3) 18 from 27 (67%) 4) 22 from 27 (81%) 5) 22 from 27 (81%)
__________________
Pixie "It's worth remembering that profit isn't profit until it's spent off the racecourse." -- Crash
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#54
14th July 2012, 08:59 PM
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Quote:
A very interesting result - where did you get the market average from if you don't mind me asking? Cheers LG
__________________
The trick isn't finding profitable angles, it's finding ones you will bet through the ups and downs - UB
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#55
15th July 2012, 12:30 AM
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LG
Think it's fairly common knowledge amongst punters that the first five in the market win between 80-85% of races. You can work it out pretty easily in Excel. If we assume that the first favourite wins 30% of races then if we put 5thFAV_A.jpg into Excel, we should get 5thFAV_B.jpg. You can extend this on as you like.
__________________
Pixie "It's worth remembering that profit isn't profit until it's spent off the racecourse." -- Crash
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#56
15th July 2012, 07:26 AM
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Very helpful Pixie.
A brush up on basic prob and Excel. Ta mate, LG
__________________
The trick isn't finding profitable angles, it's finding ones you will bet through the ups and downs - UB
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#57
15th July 2012, 08:00 AM
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All races from 1/1/2011 to 30/6/2012
Races: 24,306 Won by first 5: 20,037 Percentage: 82.44%
__________________
RaceCensus - powerful system testing software. Now with over 400,000 Metropolitan, Provincial and Country races! http://www.propun.com.au/horse_raci...ng_systems.html *RaceCensus now updated to 30/04/2024 Video overview of RaceCensus here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W821YP_b0Pg
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#58
15th July 2012, 08:26 AM
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Morning Chrome.
Would that be BF SP? LG
__________________
The trick isn't finding profitable angles, it's finding ones you will bet through the ups and downs - UB
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#59
16th July 2012, 01:54 PM
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No, that's Tote rankings.
__________________
RaceCensus - powerful system testing software. Now with over 400,000 Metropolitan, Provincial and Country races! http://www.propun.com.au/horse_raci...ng_systems.html *RaceCensus now updated to 30/04/2024 Video overview of RaceCensus here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W821YP_b0Pg
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#60
20th July 2012, 05:16 PM
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Cumulative Results to July 14th
I've just quickly done this on a sheet of paper but these are the cumulative results from April 25th to July 14th. I'm leaving out the July 11th midweek as they confuse things a bit.
The accumulative results so far: 1) 28 from 91 (31%) 2) 39 from 91 (43%) 3) 57 from 91 (63%) 4) 67 from 91 (74%) 5) 71 from 91 (78%) Interestingly close to Excel numbers above. We'll see if we can get a couple of hundred results together.
__________________
Pixie "It's worth remembering that profit isn't profit until it's spent off the racecourse." -- Crash
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