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  #31  
Old 8th March 2007, 02:09 PM
Merriguy Merriguy is offline
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Thought you were being a bit tough .

Not sure just what I am doing about these at the moment. Michaelg is doing a pretty good job for Oz just now though.
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  #32  
Old 8th March 2007, 03:00 PM
AngryPixie AngryPixie is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Merriguy
Not sure just what I am doing about these at the moment. Michaelg is doing a pretty good job for Oz just now though.


Yep Michael is doing a great job.

It's early days for the UK yet. When I get a chance I'll work out how many "beta" bet's we'll need to get under our belts before we can be confident that the results aren't just a fluke. Going back over past results though it does hold some promise.
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  #33  
Old 8th March 2007, 11:37 PM
AngryPixie AngryPixie is offline
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Default March 8th

Quieter night tonight. Good luck.

Best
Time Name [Racecourse]
01:40 Wotashambles [Wincanton]
02:15 Tradingup [Wincanton]
03:25 Le Rochelais [Wincanton]

Others
02:15 Mylord Collonges [Wincanton]
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"It's worth remembering that profit isn't profit until it's spent off the racecourse." -- Crash
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  #34  
Old 9th March 2007, 02:33 AM
AngryPixie AngryPixie is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by AngryPixie
Thanks Salty hope your getting some use out of the selections. It's easy when somebody else does most of the work for you.


Salty

Sorry I've just read that comment of mine again. It sounds as if I was having a go at you for some reason. I'm actually having a go at myself for riding on somebody else's coat tails.

Two from two so far. Hope you had some money on.

Pixie
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  #35  
Old 9th March 2007, 09:07 AM
AngryPixie AngryPixie is offline
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Thumbs up Results March 8th

Quiet but pleasing evening.

Best
Time Name [Racecourse]
02:40 Woyashambles [Wincanton] ... LOST +1.00
03:15 Trading Up [Wincanton] ... LOST +1.00
04:25 Le Rochelais [Wincaton] ... LOST +1.00

Best Results March 6th 2007 - March 8th 2007

Pixie Units Out: 13.00
Pixie Units Profit: +7.50
Pixie POT: +57.69%

Donkey Units Out: 81.00
Donkey Units Profit: +3.14
Donkey POT: +3.87


======
Others
Time Name [Racecourse]
03:15 Mylord Collonges [Wincanton] ... LOST +1.00
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  #36  
Old 9th March 2007, 11:38 PM
AngryPixie AngryPixie is offline
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Default March 9th

Quite a number tonight to finish the week off for us. All the best.

Best
Time Name [Racecourse]
01:00 Wensley Blue [Ayr]
02:00 Strong Resolve [Ayr]
02:35 Or De Grugy [Ayr]
03:10 Reckless Venture [Ayr]
03:45 Something Silver [Ayr]
04:20 Daffi [Ayr]

Others
02:00 Morgan Be [Ayr]
03:25 Surfboard [Leicester]

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"It's worth remembering that profit isn't profit until it's spent off the racecourse." -- Crash

Last edited by AngryPixie : 10th March 2007 at 12:01 AM.
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  #37  
Old 10th March 2007, 10:49 AM
AngryPixie AngryPixie is offline
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Cool Results March 9th

Here'e our results from March 6th to March 9th inclusive. Something Silver spoilt the party a little last night but the week did end in a winning fashion. We've achieved our objective over these four days and have finished ahead of the Donkey's POT.

The "Others" category is interesting. I think we can forget it for lay selections. Do you want me to continue listing "Other" selection's next week? You'd have finished 10 units up if you backed them for the win.

Best
Date-Time Name [Racecourse]
20070306-0130 Neptune Joly [Newcastle] ... LOST +1.00
20070306-0130 Flake [Newcastle] ... WON -4.50
20070306-0200 Green Ideal [Newcastle] ... LOST +1.00
20070306-0230 Alfabet Souk [Newcastle] ... LOST +1.00
20070306-0330 Crackadee [Newcastle] ... LOST +1.00
20070307-0210 Court Alliance [Fontwell] ... LOST +1.00
20070307-0255 Ask Bobby [Catterick] ... LOST +1.00
20070307-0315 Travelling Light [Fontwell] ... TOO LONG NO LAY
20070307-0315 Herecomestanley [Fontwell] ... LOST +1.00
20070307-0325 Truly Fruitful [Catterick] ... LOST +1.00
20070307-0345 Ouragan Lagrange [Fontwell] ... LOST +1.00
20070308-0240 Wotashambles [Wincanton] ... LOST +1.00
20070308-0315 Trading Up [Wincanton] ... LOST +1.00
20070308-0425 Le Rochelais [Wincanton] ... LOST +1.00
20070309-0100 Wensley Blue [Ayr] ... LOST +1.00
20070309-0200 Strong Resolve [Ayr] ... LOST +1.00
20070309-0235 Or De Grugy [Ayr] ... LOST +1.00
20070309-0310 Reckless Venture [Ayr] ... LOST +1.00
20070309-0345 Something Silver [Ayr] ... WON -3.33
20070309-0420 Daffi [Ayr] ... LOST +1.00

Best Results March 6th 2007 - March 9th 2007

Pixie Units Out: 19.00
Pixie Units Profit: +9.17
Pixie POT: +48.26%

Donkey Units Out: 110.00
Donkey Units Profit: +2.56
Donkey POT: +2.32%


======
Others
Date-Time Name [Racecourse]
20070306-0100 Wolds Way [Newcastle] ... LOST +1.00
20070306-0230 In Dream's [Newcastle] ... WON -4.00
20070306-0300 Minster Abbi [Newcastle] ... LOST +1.00
20070306-0400 Oshkosh [Newcastle] ... LOST +1.00
20070308-0140 Alfadora [Fontwell] ... WON -4.00
20070308-0225 Cash Man [Catterick] ... LOST +1.00
20070308-0245 Pardini [Fontwell] ... LOST +1.00
20070308-0325 Bright Sparky [Catterick] ... WON -4.00
20070308-0355 Trading Trouble [Catterick] ... WON -2.50
20070308-0315 Mylord Collonges [Wincanton] ... LOST +1.00
20070309-0200 Morgan Be [Ayr] ... WON -2.50
20070309-0325 Surfboard [Leicester] ... LOST +1.00


That's it till Monday night. I don't do the UK over the weekend.
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  #38  
Old 12th March 2007, 01:46 PM
AngryPixie AngryPixie is offline
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Unhappy Don't get too excited yet

I've had a chance to go back and look at the last two weeks of February to see how we would have faired. Overall we'd have returned a not to be sneezed at 39.71% POT based on the SP's published on the Daily Donkey site. Over the same period though backing all the Donkeys would have returned 59.92% POT . We'd have had four losing days, and two break even days. Two of the losing days were killers though when we'd have layed the only winners for the day.

The Donkey's returns for Feb 2007 were one of only four months overall that they managed a return of over 10,000 so I'm not too concerned that backing all their selections returned a better POT. And of course I don't know what would have happened in the first two weeks of Feb.

What I think will happen is that in the months they do above average, they'll probably return a better POT. Other months I think our selective approach to laying their tips will return a better POT, and hopefully there will be more of those.

You could of course lay all their tips, but I think you'd struggle to make it pay. Also they seem to go up and down on the same spot for days on end eg. they've returned a 2.79 unit profit over the weekend but outlayed 71 units to do so!

Whether you follow all their tips, our selection of them, or a selection of your own, you'd be well advised to take Chromes advice and get your hands on a decent PP market and lay at about 12-20% less than the PP price. Yes, less is more

===
As an example:
Prepost price: 3/1 (same as $4.00 or 25%)
Multipy 25% x 1.2 = 30% (same as $3.33)

Therefore the maximum price we'd offer on Betfair for this selection is $3.35, which is $3.33 rounded up to the nearest price increment.
===

Maybe Maria or (Mark Does Maria) staking could be your go.

I've still not had a chance to work out the "trials" we'll need to be confident that the profits will continue, but in the absence of a computed figure let's say that what ever we do by the end of the month should give us some indication one way or the other.

Congratulations to the Daily Donkey team for consistently coming up with the goods.
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Last edited by AngryPixie : 12th March 2007 at 01:59 PM.
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  #39  
Old 12th March 2007, 03:16 PM
salty salty is offline
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Congratulations and thanks to you for all your hard work, Angry Pixie.
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  #40  
Old 12th March 2007, 11:27 PM
AngryPixie AngryPixie is offline
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Default March 12th

Ok here we go again. Smallish fields tonight so not many selections. Nobody answered as to whether the "Others" category should be saved so it's history. The following selections should be layed, not backed.

Have a nice night.

Time Name [Racecourse]
02:10 Lady Wilde [Taunton]
02:30 Bright Eagle [Plumpton]
02:40 Sitting Duck [Taunton]
03:30 Malmo Boy [Plumpton]


PS: Thanks Salty.
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