Smartgambler
Pro-Punter

Go Back   OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums > Public Forums > General Topics
User Name
Password
Register FAQ Search Today's Posts Mark all topics as read

To advertise on these
forums, e-mail us.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #31  
Old 26th July 2014, 07:47 AM
Mark Mark is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Qld
Posts: 1,404
Default

And just for a change of country.....Louisiana Downs R5. Nice start to the day.
Reply With Quote
  #32  
Old 26th July 2014, 11:14 AM
stugots stugots is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 879
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Chrome Prince
It could possibly have been part of a trade for the losing party.
They never reveal that side of it.
I doubt anyone would risk $6,000 unless the horse lost it's rider or fell over.
I've seen a few trotters gallop at the start lose 20 metres and still win, horses miss the kick and still win.
It was a Heavy 8 track over 1400m, and we all know swoopers in the wet.
The horse had secretly trialled in blinkers and was wearing ear muffs, although it's public trials and past form was bad. Trainer got a warning from the stewards for poor performance and horse was reinstated 3 days before it raced




unlikely trade CP as it was layed in running, looks like a 'error in judgement' to me.
Reply With Quote
  #33  
Old 26th July 2014, 11:31 AM
Michal Michal is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 1,007
Default

Given that the layer had to have the liability in the bank, obviously, otherwise he would not be able to make the offer, this is likely not just some $6 punter with a bank of a few hundred bucks. Still, for my liking, to pinch $6? 999 right and 1 wrong and you are out. May be a glitch in software or something similar?

Laying these type of long conveniences is fraught with danger; if not from anything else, then from the shock when one wins! Get a few go against you in short succession (wouldn't be impossible) and it's capable to break even the most determined, organized and consistent layer who may have a perfectly good method otherwise.
__________________
Michal - Ratings2Win Pty Ltd
R2W Axis - Axis is Australia's leading horse racing software and database;
with sophisticated form analysis tools and accurate horse performance ratings for TAB meetings.
http://www.ratings2win.com.au/
Reply With Quote
  #34  
Old 26th July 2014, 11:44 AM
stugots stugots is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 879
Default

It's worth having a look at the replay, the nag was slow away & the caller probably made that sound a bit worse than it was, but was it ever anywhere near a 1000/1 chance? yeah, nah
Reply With Quote
  #35  
Old 26th July 2014, 01:53 PM
stugots stugots is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 879
Default

Barry Pope
‏@Buzzathepunter
$10k traded on beaten Dalshamar at $1.01 on @Betfair_Aus in R3 Newcastle #ouch

Reply With Quote
  #36  
Old 26th July 2014, 02:20 PM
Chrome Prince Chrome Prince is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 4,365
Default

For the layer Happy days and no big liability.
For the backer(s), what a disaster.
There are no certainties in winning or losing in play.
__________________
RaceCensus - powerful system testing software.
Now with over 399,000 Metropolitan, Provincial and Country races!
http://www.propun.com.au/horse_raci...ng_systems.html
*RaceCensus now updated to 31/03/2024
Video overview of RaceCensus here:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W821YP_b0Pg
Reply With Quote
  #37  
Old 26th July 2014, 03:37 PM
stugots stugots is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 879
Default

is another one worth looking at the replay, home for all money...until it wasnt
Reply With Quote
  #38  
Old 26th July 2014, 04:10 PM
Chrome Prince Chrome Prince is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 4,365
Default

Reminded me of Seabiscuit's famous loss.
__________________
RaceCensus - powerful system testing software.
Now with over 399,000 Metropolitan, Provincial and Country races!
http://www.propun.com.au/horse_raci...ng_systems.html
*RaceCensus now updated to 31/03/2024
Video overview of RaceCensus here:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W821YP_b0Pg
Reply With Quote
  #39  
Old 26th July 2014, 05:59 PM
stugots stugots is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 879
Default

$10k to win $100, $6k to win $6 - someone please tell me what is wrong with these pictures & does it make me a bad person that I have zero sympathy for those on the wrong end?.....
Reply With Quote
  #40  
Old 26th July 2014, 06:09 PM
stugots stugots is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 879
Default

Of course most of it is to do with internet betting - an old mate of mine 25 years my senior who did it hard growing up, lived through the blitz, came to Australia & did alright for himself used to regularly say to me 'people do not appreciate the value of money' & having heard it a 100 times, I would nod & say 'yep, your right' without ever really giving his words the respect or understanding they deserved.

Would anyone in their right mind walk up to a bookie with $10k in hand & take odds of $1.01? Of course not. & that lay bet is even more insane, bordering on certifiable.

If the cash is in your hands & you have to physically part with it, that's a hell of a lot more different than a rushed (maybe panicked?) decision sitting at a computer...just ask any share trader

/rant
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Forum Jump



All times are GMT +10. The time now is 08:10 PM.


Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
©2008 OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved . ACN 091184655