Smartgambler
Pro-Punter

Go Back   OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums > Public Forums > Horse Race Betting Systems
User Name
Password
Register FAQ Search Today's Posts Mark all topics as read

To advertise on these
forums, e-mail us.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #1  
Old 10th February 2008, 04:08 PM
stugots stugots is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 879
Default if only we knew which 70% eh?

Quote:
Originally Posted by partypooper
if only we knew which 70% eh?


quoting you from the other thread party, hope you dont mind, thought the subject of how those here attack any given day might be worth its own thread.

i have a couple of different methods i use to select both win & lay bets, both methods require betting at around the jump & are "proven" (i use that term with caution) over in excess of 2000 races over the last couple of years

ive found ive just got to crunch all selections that the methods throw up, if i set a target for the day & stop this seems to result in reduced profit longterm, albeit at a higher pot

just wondering what approach others may use?
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 11th February 2008, 12:49 AM
partypooper partypooper is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Nov 1999
Location: Western Australia
Posts: 2,390
Default

G'day stugots, at this moment I can't figure out where I said that BUT, you are 100% correct, it's a close call alright, i.e. do you BACK the 70% or lay the 30%, hahahah, the $64,000 question? so to speak, in my case it's easy as being in WA I can't get Betfair anyway. so there you go!

As I've managed to come out on the right side of the ledger (so far) I will carry on.

Godd luck,

Last edited by partypooper : 11th February 2008 at 12:50 AM. Reason: mistake
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 11th February 2008, 02:22 AM
Shaun Shaun is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Western Australia
Posts: 3,456
Default

I have to admit it makes our job a bit easier being in WA we just have to decide where to bet, bookies or Tab
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 11th February 2008, 06:43 AM
thorns thorns is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 446
Talking

either of you care to elaborate on what you are on about?
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 11th February 2008, 11:33 AM
Shaun Shaun is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Western Australia
Posts: 3,456
Default

The WA government has banned betfair here, we have had our accounts restricted we can see our accounts and withdraw the funds but can't place a bet.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 11th February 2008, 11:52 AM
thorns thorns is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 446
Default

i was referring to the "if only we knew which 70%"
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 11th February 2008, 12:20 PM
partypooper partypooper is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Nov 1999
Location: Western Australia
Posts: 2,390
Default

Thorns what I was saying is that although I know that method has a 70% S/R, I (and everone else) doesn't know which 70% of course.
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 11th February 2008, 12:58 PM
stugots stugots is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 879
Default

sort of what i was on about party, but to give an example of a typical day -

i identify 16 potential lays for the day
after 8 races ive layed 5 that have lost & passed on 3 races

so im up 5 units, which is what i could be more than happy with for the day

but theres still 8 possible money making opportunities left, so do i stay or do i go?

at present i stay, simply to keep turnover up & to cash in on those days where almost everything goes my way

just wondering what others do?
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 11th February 2008, 02:33 PM
partypooper partypooper is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Nov 1999
Location: Western Australia
Posts: 2,390
Default

stugots, although I've "made a book" many times at the track, I haven't had the experience that you have , simply because we can't use Betfair here in WA, so your scenario is hard to comment on, but I think you hit the nail on the head when you mentioned "turnover".
Though on the human level it is ************ frustrating when you stick around and a winning day turns bad.
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 11th February 2008, 06:02 PM
stugots stugots is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 879
Default

yeh, hitting that $8 winner with the last lay of the day does suck

laying, win place betting whatever, its all the same imho with regards to how one manages his/her betting on any given day

often hear people remark that they stop once a target is reached for teh day, is that a strategy that most here would agree with?
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Forum Jump



All times are GMT +10. The time now is 03:01 PM.


Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
©2008 OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved . ACN 091184655