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  #31  
Old 28th April 2012, 09:46 PM
Stix Stix is offline
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Crap Day today.....



Quote:
Originally Posted by Stix
Single selections from Tipster Poll - April 28

Randwick
R1 Fast and Sexy, Xatel Ekwa, Anise
R3 Trophies, Rowie
R4 Shannara, Foxstar, Fill The Page
R5 Albert The Fat, Centennial PArk, Ofcourseican
R6 HAwk Island, Precedence
R7 Rekindled Interest
R8 Latin News

Caulfield
R1 Red Colossus, Lordoftheparrots
R2 The Long Road, Hes A Hotty,
R4 Baldez, Infinite Energy
R5 Slewsay, Her Diamond Rock, Two Sugars, Stacey Lee, Rheinfels
R6 Above, Pitt Street, Gold Sand, Josimar
R7 My Girl Tess, Temper Tantrum
R8 Kelly Royale, Fashion

See how they go....
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  #32  
Old 29th April 2012, 09:33 AM
TheSchmile TheSchmile is offline
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Hi Stix,

It might help to introduce a rule such as minimum price of fav in the race $3-3.50?

It could help strike rate overall.

The Schmile
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  #33  
Old 29th April 2012, 11:53 AM
Try Try Again Try Try Again is offline
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Hi Stix,

I have found that by only backing selections in races with 12, 13 or 14 starters I achieved my best results. It has been several months since I have back a good priced winner with this method and am currently on a 20 losing streak (only on Melb Metro Saturday meetings). Still running at 86.4% POT even with this losing streak. Lowest priced winner $4.60 and Highest priced winner $21.40. 146 bets with 26 winners and 17.8% S/R since 2/01/10.
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  #34  
Old 29th April 2012, 01:57 PM
Stix Stix is offline
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Most of the selections are those thrown in for fourth by the tipsters, so would suggest that may be part of the poor performance.

If I get time on Wednesday, I'll use the following Rules

1. Listed once only to run a place (first, Second or Third)
2. Races with Runners >10
3. No races where PP fav is <$2.5


Why the changes?
Rule one - eliminate those just thrown in for value etc
Rule two - Try and provide a bit more value (?) with bigger fields
Rule three - Again looking for better value betting races (?)
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  #35  
Old 3rd May 2012, 12:17 PM
Try Try Again Try Try Again is offline
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Hi Stix,

I have ignored the tipsters 4th selection when I consider horse's only tipped once since they are not listed in the Tipster's Poll in the Herald Sun.
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