#1
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Greetings everybody
Having been a analyst for many years I would like to pass on some knowledge and hope it might be of help to someone. A lot of people use ave prize money in systems and filters. The only thing with this is that a horse may have won alot of prize money as a 2 or 3 year old and never reach that peak again. I think a better way is to take recent pze money won over the last 12 mths or even using sportsmans last 9 run form guide.If doing it manually it it roughly worksout like this. 1st 65% 2nd 20% 3rd 10% 4th 5% of the prize money for that race. form pro |
#2
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A very valid point Form Pro!
Thanks. |
#3
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Form Pro
Someone before (sorry Privateer or Placegetter not quite sure who started to cite here but definitely acknowledge it's not me) posted percentage statistics, one which includes prize winnings. 1. 88% of winners had a place strike rate greater than 40%; 2. 69% of winners had a place strike rate greater than 50%; 3. 72% of winners were priced at $11 or under in Friday pre-race markets; 4. 72% of winners were in the Top 5 Average Prizemoney; 5. 58% of winners finished 1 or 2 last start; 6. 83% of winners had finished in the first five last start; 7. 75% of winners had not risen more than 2kg from last start. Do you think any of these are more important that others? And with prize winnings how do you make use of them? Hope you reply |
#4
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fryingpan
malcom knowles did some research on 8000 races in sydney,melbourne, brisbane,adelaide over 6 years.Some of his findings were RANKING 1ST 2ND 3RD 4TH 5TH WIN SRATE 19.3 15.2 12.9 10.2 9.4 PLACE SRATE 21.7 13.5 12.6 10.4 8.9 AVE PZMONEY 19.1 15.5 13.0 He said that using a runners place strike rate with good recent form is a powerful predictive tool. I think that using recent prizemoney is also good in predicting consistency and class. The better races have more pze money so this gives you an idea of its consistencey in a pze money range. hope this could be of help form pro |
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