Because today is a public holiday in WA I decided to do a bit of research on the Tabform ratings which are also the Unitab ratings. Are they in fact AAP ratings?
The results of the last 5 months for this system are 99 selections - 14 winners - avge divy $13 - LS profit 81 units.
The best winner was Roman Arch in Melb in the spring - $23.
You would need a big heart to follow a system with such a low strike rate but it achieved a good result if you had done so.
Will it continue to succeed? Probably not, but I've backed Sportsman ($17 winner)and Wishart ($14)from a handful of bets in the last couple of weeks so I'll continue on until the profits run out or ...... .
The rules -
Metro Sat only excluding Adelaide and Perth.
Consider any 100 pointer left after scratchings.
Back it if you can obtain $8.50 or more.
Ignore races where 3 100 pointers are >= $8.5.
I know that Sportz and others have looked at 100 pointers so if any of you have some extra rules which would improve the bottom line feel free to jump in.


[ This Message was edited by: jacfin on 2004-03-02 11:45 ]

[ This Message was edited by: jacfin on 2004-03-03 12:06 ]

[ This Message was edited by: jacfin on 2004-03-04 12:18 ]

Any idea how that system would have gone at country and provincial meetings? Desert Clearance a 100 rater just got up at Sale paying $8.60 here in Qld!!!

Anyway, I love the Unitab ratings and I've got one for you to look at:

1. At least 8 starters after scratchings.
2. Horse must be the only 100 rater left after scratchings.
3. Must be first up from a spell.
4. Must have won at this distance (c or d).

In the last 3 months, that simple system made around 85% profit and it also picked Sportsman.

Your system looks pretty good as it is, but if you want to improve things, I suggest you could look at winners at this distance (c or d) or last start beaten favourites.


[ This Message was edited by: sportznut on 2004-03-02 08:39 ]

Sportz
I knew that you'd have some good ideas to contribute. The distance winner seems like a good angle to look at. I'd like to get the hit rate up to 20% if possible even if it sacrificed some of the profit. I'll look into it when I continue my research.
I must confess that until this morning when I was doing the research I didn't know that unitab had ratings on C or P meetings. We get them for Sat meetings only in the TAB form guide. Something you wrote elsewhere made me think that they were perhaps the same as the unitab ratings and a spot check seems to confirm that.
Do you have the breakdown of win% etc for the first up system? It looks like a good one and shows your genius for finding 7 day a week systems. I have the utmost admiration for someone who can do this.

Around 30%.

I'm sorry, I haven't actually updated my figures, but up until last week, they were like this: 16 wins from 52 bets and a profit of 86%

I personally use a pre-post price range of $3.00-$21.00 and using that, the figures are like this: 14 wins from 46 bets and a profit of 101%

Hope that helps.

[ This Message was edited by: sportznut on 2004-03-01 16:02 ]

Okay, not quite so good in the past week or two. Here are the updated figures:
Selections 59
Wins 18, Win return $102.30, Win profit 73%
Places 34, Place return $66.00, Place profit 12%

With $3-$21 pre-post price rule:
Selections 52
Wins 15, Win return $96.40, Win profit 85%
Places 31, Place return $63.90, Place profit 23%

As for your idea, I think it's an excellent one. As I was going through a few results yesterday, I noticed many good priced winners from the 100 raters on all days of the week. I'm going to have to look into that. :smile:

[ This Message was edited by: sportznut on 2004-03-02 09:43 ]

Sportz,
Just curious do you check the selections 1st up strike rate or just bet them if the above rules apply.

Cheers

Good point. No, these results are without checking for first-up strike rates. I'll have to look into that too. :smile:

Sorry, not at the moment. However, I am working on these 100 raters systems at the moment and by the time I'm finished, I'll have some figures for you. :smile:

Sportz....in the above results what was the test period of those selections
how many selection a day would you say