Please can someone provide the winning strike rate of horses versus starts from a spell, particularly first up strike rate. I did find some stats previously on this forum but cannot locate them now.
gunny72

gunny, I'll put something together for you.

Thanks, looking forward to it

Lets see if this tables presents ok:

RUNS THIS CAMPAIGN - ALL DISTANCES
HORSES LESS THAN $20

ALL.....1,031,071.....145,188.....14.08%

RFS.....STARTERS.....WINS......S/R..........RF
0........136,224........18,743.....13.76%....0.977
1........173,850........24,787.....14.26%....1.013
2........160,078........23,172.....14.48%....1.028
3........133,491........19,451.....14.57%....1.035
4........106,425........15,660.....14.71%....1.045
5........294,253........39,828.....13.54%.....0.96 1
6........7,428...............968......13.03%....0. 925
7........5,380...............780......14.50%....1. 030
8........3,860...............534......13.83%....0. 982
9........2,700...............341......12.63%....0. 897
10+.....7,382...............924......12.52%....0.8 89

A slight advantage for horses with between 2 to 4 runs from a spell. Horses with 9 runs plus appear to run below par. First uppers go ok, just a slight disadvantage.

You will notice I did not include runners $20 plus. I have a feeling there would be quite a few first uppers $20 plus (stayers resuming etc) that might have skewed the results.

Thank you. Excellent data, just what I needed. I'll now spend some time using it in my ratings.
gunny72