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Old 15th December 2011, 01:04 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,790
Wink Testing a U.B. system

I've often looked at races where there is at least a 5 kg gap between the top weight and bottom weight horse, and from what I can remember it lost in the short testing period, but only a few percentage points with TAB divvies.

Testing something similar on U.B.'s excellent website shows a profit.

The paramaters I used are:

1) TABs nos 1 to 5. (I don't know if this factors in any scratchings)
2) Distance of under 1,300 metres.
3) The minimum bottom weight to be 54 kilos.
5) 11-plus starters.

According to the result there was a POT of 7.59%.

Would someone please check this as it's quite possible I inputted something wrong.

Unfortunately I don't know how to exclude maidens and races where all horses must have had at least three starts which would provide the handicapper some guideline when calculating the allotment of weights.


Out of interest, today's races according to my reckoning are:


Queanbeyan (TAB nos 1-5)
Races 4, 5

Kyneton
Race 8

Rocky
Race 7

Albany
R6 nos. 1, 3, 4, 5, 6
R7 (nos 1 to 5)

Total outlay of $30.


Again, if someone could be kind enough check the figures from U.B.'s website.
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Old 15th December 2011, 01:12 PM
UselessBettor UselessBettor is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by michaelg

1) TABs nos 1 to 5. (I don't know if this factors in any scratchings)

This is just the horse number so doesn't change with scratchings.
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