Smartgambler
Pro-Punter

Go Back   OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums > Public Forums > Horse Race Betting Systems
User Name
Password
Register FAQ Search Today's Posts Mark all topics as read

To advertise on these
forums, e-mail us.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #341  
Old 1st February 2013, 12:42 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,790
Wink

Unfortunately I don't keep that type of record.

However I've been on-and-off looking at boxing quinellas of all the horses that are not the lay selections, so almost all the field is boxed. However I haven't kept records but expect to do so when/if I get time.

For example, yesterday the quinella was struck in the 10 qualifying races. The total outlay was $467 and the Unitab return was $985.
Reply With Quote
  #342  
Old 1st February 2013, 03:22 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,790
Wink

Out of interest I've checked the results of box quinellas for today's races already run.

There's currently been 7 races for 7 successes. An outlay of $298 for a return of $580.

Last edited by michaelg : 1st February 2013 at 03:24 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #343  
Old 1st February 2013, 10:33 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,790
Wink

Not a bad day. From the 23 selections there were 23 smiles for a profit of $170.31.

From the 16 races there were 16 successful quinellas. The outlay was $638 for a return of $855.
Reply With Quote
  #344  
Old 2nd February 2013, 08:39 AM
Merriguy Merriguy is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 609
Default

Going along swimmingly, Michael. If you are in Sydney you had have to be able to swim over the last 24 hours or so!!!

Two things though, for the sake of accuracy, by my count there were only 17 selections yesterday, or really only 16 as Tamworth 8 was abandoned.

Your quinella idea seems to have legs. Which TAB are you using for your figures?
Reply With Quote
  #345  
Old 2nd February 2013, 08:50 AM
UselessBettor UselessBettor is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2011
Posts: 1,474
Default

The problem with exotics is that pay a lot less as soon as you start betting on them.
Reply With Quote
  #346  
Old 2nd February 2013, 09:52 AM
stugots stugots is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 879
Default

Amen to that
Reply With Quote
  #347  
Old 2nd February 2013, 12:36 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,790
Wink

Hi, Merriguy, I've been using Unitab. However today I'll be betting them all on NSW but only for the minimum with flexi-betting which is more or less the same principle when laying for a liability. By my calcs if I had flexi-bet yesterday the profit would have been higher percentage-wise.

Today's selections:

Caulfield
5/1
7/8

Dombeen
3/14
5/5, 7, 9
6/9, 11, 12
9/10

Morphetville
5/12
6/10, 11
8/4

Kembla
2/10
8/11

Casino
5/7, 9, 11
6/11
7/8, 9

Kyneton
2/5
3/4, 7, 10
5/3, 12

Gold Coast
2/15
4/10
8/3, 13

Toowoomba
4/13
6/2, 11, 12
7/10
8/10

Ascot
4/3
5/9
8/8

Last edited by michaelg : 2nd February 2013 at 12:39 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #348  
Old 2nd February 2013, 05:17 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,790
Wink

Correction - Kembla 8/11 is not a selection because it's got 97 Unitab points.
Reply With Quote
  #349  
Old 2nd February 2013, 09:24 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,790
Wink

Not a bad day. From the 38 selections there were 38 smiles for a profit of $332.51.

I didn't have a bet on the quinellas, but from a quick check I think I would've lost. When I get time I will check.
Reply With Quote
  #350  
Old 3rd February 2013, 09:09 AM
UselessBettor UselessBettor is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2011
Posts: 1,474
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by michaelg
Not a bad day. From the 38 selections there were 38 smiles for a profit of $332.51.

I didn't have a bet on the quinellas, but from a quick check I think I would've lost. When I get time I will check.

Michaelg, just be careful with exotics. They are worthwhile in the bigger meetings but for those country meetings you can seriously affect you odds.

For example Kembla Range 2
The Quinalla had 3883 cash in the pool. Assuming it paid out 85% that will be $3300. It paid out $74.20 That means there were approx 45 winners.
You become winner 46. That drops the odds to $71.70

Thats only if you bet $1 on it. If you bet $10 on it then the odds would drop to $60. this stops you scaling it up with more money. And it might even be enough at minimum stakes to drop too many odds and result in a loss.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Forum Jump



All times are GMT +10. The time now is 05:12 PM.


Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
©2008 OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved . ACN 091184655