Smartgambler
Pro-Punter

Go Back   OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums > Public Forums > Horse Race Betting Systems
User Name
Password
Register FAQ Search Today's Posts Mark all topics as read

To advertise on these
forums, e-mail us.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #1  
Old 28th June 2002, 02:17 PM
Hammers Hammers is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Sydney
Posts: 148
Default

I have read with interest the various staking plans that forum members adopt - there seem to be plenty of place punters amongst them.
My selections are running at about 15% POT on both win and place ( hypothetically at the moment but I want to go live asap ).
Does anyone know of staking plans that apply to each way betting as my results which are extensive do not seem to discriminate between win or place?
Obviously if I am running at 15% POT then flat betting should work but I am sure there are staking plans out there that optimise good results and make them better.
If it helps my win strike rate is 24% and place 65%.
Thanks.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 28th June 2002, 03:26 PM
Placegetter Placegetter is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 191
Default

The boffins of the forum will also require your average dividend.

If the place div is around $1.80 to $2.00 you can accelerate it easily using a plan posted by Testarossa only recently. I won't bore others with a repeat.

Basically, POT will remain the same, you'll just turn over more money! Works for me. :smile:

Placegetter
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 28th June 2002, 03:37 PM
Hammers Hammers is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Sydney
Posts: 148
Default

Thanks Placegetter,
I saw Testarossa's and thought it might work OK for the place component but not the win - too many outs even at 24%.
Maybe seperate banks is the answer.
Ave divs are $4.80 and $1.75.
Cheers.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 28th June 2002, 05:44 PM
thekey thekey is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 105
Default

Hammers,
would suggest you go live asap. Only bet so small it is unemotional if you lose. The only way to know if you can make it work is to put real money on the line.

As for each way betting. It's a personal/emotional thing. Betting each way your runs of outs will be smaller (you lose less) but when you win you win less.

The maths people tell me only bet each way in 8-9 horse fields witha bookmaker at prices of 4-1 and under, 2-1 and less is even better.

That ought to stir a few people up!
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 28th June 2002, 06:03 PM
Hammers Hammers is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Sydney
Posts: 148
Default

Thanks Key,
I've read all the mathematics on eachway betting and yes, the shorter the price the better the place value.
I guess what I'm after is a staking plan that suits eachway betting - they tend to cater to either win or place. My hunch is that splitting win and place and treating the banks seperately is the way to go rather than treating the eachway bet as one bet.
Yeah, I'll give it a go tomorrow and see what happens - I'm sick of winning on paper!
Here are my selections for tomorrow if anyone cares;
Syd 2 - 2 Sir Dan
Syd 3 - 1 Timidity
Syd 5 - 1 Marrakesh Express
Ips 2 - 6 Nova
Ips 3 - 2 Grandway Shogun
Good luck with yours.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 28th June 2002, 08:25 PM
Placegetter Placegetter is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 191
Default

You're joking! That lot. Sheesh, save your money.

Placegetter

PS. Just kidding.

Value bets tomorrow are:

BR6 #12 Jillina Blue
SR8 #9 Flash Phantom (special - I hope you guys don't back it into favouritism).
MR2 #12 Smiing Eyes
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 28th June 2002, 08:49 PM
Hammers Hammers is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Sydney
Posts: 148
Default

Placegetter,
One thing I've never been accused of with my betting is being adventurous - one mate reckons I pick more favourites than Wayne Harris!
Anyway, if the bottom line is black and not red then I don't care.
Cheers
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 8th July 2002, 02:15 PM
Bhagwan Bhagwan is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,428
Default

If you are making 15%POT betting E/W , you are doing well .
I would suggest betting 1/60th of your bank E/W . E.g. $300 bank =$5 E/W run of 30 outs increasing bets by 1/60th once bank increases by 1/60th.
That way, you have a chance to survive a run of short priced paying Mules, you may have backed ,that have only placed & not won.

Try not to back your E/W selections if they are paying less $3.30 in the paper .


__________________
Cheers.
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 8th July 2002, 04:31 PM
Placegetter Placegetter is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 191
Default

Quote:
On 2002-07-08 14:15, Bhagwan wrote:
Try not to back your E/W selections if they are paying less $3.30 in the paper .


How did you arrive at the number Baggie? Is it allowing for GST? :smile:

I personally wouldn't back each way if the place dividend was below $2.00. That way when it comes second in a photo, you still get something for your hard work.

Placgetter
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 9th July 2002, 07:59 AM
Bhagwan Bhagwan is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,428
Default

I have found $3.30 horses usually pay $1.60+ for a place.

I`ve also found they pay OK for the win component.
Horses paying less than the $3.30 have a habit of paying very short divs. & have a habit of falling over.
So that means you would have to get 2 winners in that price rang to every 1 losser just to break even , what`s the point of pursuing poor value & end up with a small loss on top of it, in that price range.

I take your point about the $2.00 for a place, but from what our freind was indicating, his selections tend to be one of the 2 favs. so I feel if that is the case, he wont be placing many bets if he has to wait around for a Mule in his price range ,paying $2.00+ for a place, that`s all


__________________
Cheers.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Forum Jump



All times are GMT +10. The time now is 07:11 AM.


Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
©2008 OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved . ACN 091184655