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  #1  
Old 7th April 2013, 01:09 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Posts: 2,790
Wink Lay experiment with small fields.

My neuralmania system is currently doing quite well. One of the rules is that there must be 10 or more runners.

So for races with 9 runners and less I'm experimenting with a method that applies a slight twist to the neuralmania system. I hope/expect that due to the "small" fields that the smiles are not too "small"

Today's selections: ($33 Lay liability on each)

Wyong
3/4
4/9
7/10

Sale
2/3
5/6
6/3
7/7
8/12

Gundagai
5/3

Sun Coast
2/11
3/6
4/8
6/8
7/6
8/11

Bordertown
1/5
2/1
5/9
6/7

Benalla
1/8

Hobart
1/6
3/3
6/6

Hobart
7/6
8/7
9/8

Geraldton
3/3
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  #2  
Old 7th April 2013, 03:35 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Correction - the selection for Gundagai race 5 is no.6, not no.3.
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  #3  
Old 7th April 2013, 05:28 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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From the 26 selections there were 25 smiles for a profit of $0.48.

I am tightening the rules, which still provided/s enough selections not for me to hopefully lose interest. There were 15 of them for 15 smiles for a profit of $13.83. The average smile was just a little less than a dollar.
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  #4  
Old 8th April 2013, 12:32 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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I'm adding to the method. Not only laying but also an each way, Win and a boxed Quinella methods.

Lay Method
Nowra
1/8
4/9

Mildura
1/4
5/7
6/8

Each Way
No qualifiers.

Win and Boxed Quinellas
Nowra
1/3, 4, 5
4/4, 5, 6

Mildura
1/3, 6, 8
5/1,2, 4
6/1, 2, 6


I looked at the Each-Way, Win and Quinella results for the past three days and it doesn't seem too bad, especially the Each-Way method, which unfortunately there are no qualifiers today.

Last edited by michaelg : 8th April 2013 at 12:37 PM.
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  #5  
Old 8th April 2013, 04:13 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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The 5 lay selections lost for a profit of $9.67.

The box quinellas all lost, and there were 2 winners from the 15 Win selections for a return of $14.80, or $17.01 on Betfair.
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  #6  
Old 9th April 2013, 12:15 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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We'll see how the methods go today:

Mackay
LAY:2/7 and 5/9

Bet: 2/1, 2, 4, 5
Bet: 5/2, 7, 8

Yarra Valley
LAY 8/13

Bet: 8/ 2, 3, 4

Tamworth
LAY 3/6 and 4/8

Bet 3/1, 3, 4, 7
Bet 4/1, 2, 3, 4

I might bet them on Betfair for $5 each.
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  #7  
Old 9th April 2013, 05:18 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Not a bad day. The five Lay selections were beaten for a profit of $7.15.

The outlay for the Bet method was $21 and the return on Betfair was $26.84 for a profit of $5.84.

Last edited by michaelg : 9th April 2013 at 05:20 PM.
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  #8  
Old 10th April 2013, 11:51 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Default

Today's Lay selections:

Canterbury
1/7
2/7

Ascot
2/8

Launceston
5/7


BACK
Canterbury
1/1, 3, 4
2/1, 2, 3, 6

Ascot
2/4, 5

Launceston
5/1, 3, 5
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  #9  
Old 10th April 2013, 09:02 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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The 4 Lay selections were unplaced for a profit of $4.67. I was also able to Lay them to Place on S.P. for a profit of $21.48.

The winner was struck in the 4 races for a profit of $4.42.
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  #10  
Old 11th April 2013, 12:06 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Today's Lay selections:

Hawkesbury
1/3
2/10

Ballarat
5/1

Beaudesert
3/12

Albany
3/5
4/8
5/8

Even though the Bet system has won each day for the three days I've listed the selections here I've currently lost interest in it. However I might one day revive it.
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