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  #1  
Old 2nd November 2017, 08:46 PM
UselessBettor UselessBettor is offline
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Default This works and its easy. Value system players only.

This system works. Its easy and its great if you want to automate it.

1 minute before the scheduled jump check the lay price (pink price) on betfair exchange and note the price for all horses at or under $30.

Put in a limit betfair SP Back bet at a minimum price of ((price-1)*1.3) which is a 30% extra chance of it winning then currently predicted.

You will have quite a few long losing runs so I am confident most people won't follow this. But the profits are there.

To give you some sort of idea. This year the results are:

24832 selections for a 1865 units profit after 5% commission.
Strike rate of 10.55 %.

Simple, easy and there is only 1 rule. Look for value in horses under $30 on betfair.
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  #2  
Old 3rd November 2017, 05:20 PM
thorns thorns is offline
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Default

Interesting thanks.

Whats the Strike rate when you break it down into the sharper end of the market?

Under $5
$5-10?
$10-20
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  #3  
Old 3rd November 2017, 08:33 PM
UselessBettor UselessBettor is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by thorns
Interesting thanks.

Whats the Strike rate when you break it down into the sharper end of the market?

Under $5
$5-10?
$10-20


the strike rate increases as you get lower but your number of bets get smaller and smaller. $30 is the optimal price range for maximum profits.
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  #4  
Old 5th November 2017, 06:37 AM
domenic domenic is offline
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Hi UB,

Is this over all codes, or just racing?
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  #5  
Old 5th November 2017, 07:20 AM
UselessBettor UselessBettor is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by domenic
Hi UB,

Is this over all codes, or just racing?


Was just racing (excludes harness) worldwide 24 hrs a day.
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  #6  
Old 5th November 2017, 07:24 AM
domenic domenic is offline
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Thanks for clarifying
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