98% SR and a superior return using SP lay method as per your assumption and your confidence is taking a hit??

I must be borderline suicidal then !

LG

__________________
The trick isn't finding profitable angles, it's finding ones you will bet through the ups and downs - UB

L.G.

Thanks for your confidence. I hope you're right.

L.G. you were right, thankfully - so much for my intuition/gut feeling. I think it may have been a natural negativity because I increased the bets by huge amounts. Tomorrow they're back to $33, and I must not (hopefully) give in to impatience until there has been many more selections... and success to give me more confidence.

From today's 19 selections there were 19 smiles for a disappointing profit of $7.52.

I'm not sure if this is of interest to you, Michael, but I set my bot to do what you were doing today but laying at the price available 5 seconds before the jump. The result was very similar with a profit of 7.68.

Speedyben, I assume you layed on the exchange.

My records show that since Friday 7 December laying S.P. outperformed laying on the exchange even though the prices are generally the same, as your profit today was almost identical with mine.

If you are going to continue laying the selections it might be better to do so on S.P.

Good luck whatever you do.

This I understand. LG

__________________
The trick isn't finding profitable angles, it's finding ones you will bet through the ups and downs - UB

There's no need to be like that based on your figures at least. Nothing wrong with making more money laying at SP AND, at the same time, restricting your liability to only $33 than laying at level stakes and not winning as much.

Now larger stakes are a different story but the stats are going great so far so keep up the good work.

__________________
Never give up on a dream just because of the time it will take to accomplish it. The time will pass anyway.”

― Earl Nightingale

Thanks, T.O.

However, it's reverse confidence with me - the better the results the less confident I feel. Today like yesterday, I look at the selections on Unitab and my confidence drops.

Today's selections:

Gosford
5/10
6/11
7/9, 10

Mornington
4/10
7/9

Eagle Farm
1/9
2/1, 9
4/4
5/12
6/7
7/9, 14, 15, 16

Gawler
4/6, 7, 10
5/3
7/4, 10, 11
8/2

Launceston
2/3, 7, 8
3/5, 8
4/6, 9, 10
5/2
6/7, 12
7/6
8/8, 12

Ascot
1/8
2/2, 3
3/12
4/1, 14, 15
5/7
6/2

Correction - Eagle Farm race 4 has less then 9 starters so it is not a qualifying race.

My lack of confidence has been vindicated. The very first selection, Eagle Farm 1/9 was an accident.

Hopefully the other selections become smiles and recoup the loss of $33.