As most know you can make money out of firmers from Prepost to Starting Price

So for 2012

Metro Races

Prepost $4.00 - $6.00
Starting Price $2.00 - $3.00 NSW Tab

494 Bets
193 Wins
$493.50 Return a loss of 50cents

One filter or using Betfair and you have an easy profit.

Vortech, it has been posted on here that those horses who open longer than pre-post have a S/R of 5%, day in, day out. I've never checked this BTW, and I'm a doubting Thomas .....

DTM

Does that mean those shorter have a 95% strike rate

I guess so ..... it's a hard stat to believe though.

Must be the same lot that believe mechanical systems cant work.long term

It was tested live Vortech.

DTM .....

seems original


I prefer the original, original rules and filters which has a in-built rating method. As the cliche goes, " if it ain't broken, why "fix it" ?
Because if you used all of 2012, including wet tracks, ya way way out when favorites and other runners are scratched, taken into consideration.

494 Bets / 365 days = 1.27 bets per day.(round down to 1...., bet per day ? )

And Openers, what "openers" ??

With Mark's permission I'll post it.

The test was only an example of a specific range of prices.
Not all firmers.

Something material regards that price range(openers) Mr V?

LG

__________________
The trick isn't finding profitable angles, it's finding ones you will bet through the ups and downs - UB

Ok,
a test,
the way to calculate according to the method that was shown, let's say ya have $100 bank on the day.

A 4.00 Pre Post with a $2.00 opener would equate to a 50 unit bet.
$6.00 with a 3.00 opener would be a $33.30 bet, ( 33) and so on

Both those 2 examples have the same rating of 200 each if it were in the same race. But ya have to do the entire field and get the best 3.
The trick is to wait and see what happens up to near the start of the race, then bet according to your opening calculations.
So for example if the $2.00 opener's price moved out to say 3 or 3.50 towards the start of the race, it's still a $50 bet.

Common sense does need to come into consideration on wet track though.
I know of a race one time where a outsider, non qualifier 1600M 6/1 pp, paid 10/1
It was a race 7, but saw on a race 2 of that same venue they had to go wide due to a wet patch on the track.
So I threw the rule book out and backed the 6/1 that went out to 9/1 in the ring, but saw a plunge on the screen, then it went back up again.
Smiles, the bookie saw it so he moved his price up to 10/1 thinking he get the attention off while the 2 favs ( near the barrier) were having it out.
It won, but was not a qualifier.