Smartgambler
Pro-Punter

Go Back   OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums > Public Forums > Horse Race Betting Systems
User Name
Password
Register FAQ Search Today's Posts Mark all topics as read

To advertise on these
forums, e-mail us.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #1  
Old 23rd November 2012, 08:25 PM
Shaun Shaun is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Western Australia
Posts: 3,456
Default Laying Fav in running

Does anyone have experience laying favs in running?

How hard would it be to lay a fave between $2-$2.50?

I know that if they blow the start the price would move out, but how often does the price fall bellow the levels mentioned with people still wanting to take a lay bet on them?
__________________
One Drive

"If the corporates are treating you poorly , just go elsewhere."
"If they need you , they will soon find out."
"If you need them , you will soon find out."
--moeee
_______________________________________________
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 23rd November 2012, 10:42 PM
SpeedyBen SpeedyBen is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2012
Posts: 464
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Shaun
Does anyone have experience laying favs in running?

How hard would it be to lay a fave between $2-$2.50?

I know that if they blow the start the price would move out, but how often does the price fall bellow the levels mentioned with people still wanting to take a lay bet on them?
Shaun
A word of warning. Don't lay them if they lead.
I never lay favs in running but I do back them - much safer. I have a mate who backs favs who miss the start or get back especially if the stats indicate that the on pace runners are not favoured at the course/ distance.
One trick that works quite often is to lay a fav pre race that you know gets back and back it at a (usually) better price when they do. You can let it ride or green up.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 24th November 2012, 12:00 AM
Shaun Shaun is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Western Australia
Posts: 3,456
Default

With out exposing to much of what i have in mind my aim is to lay at around $2.00 -$2.50 with a back bet already secured, basically a trading situation so i don't care if they win or lose just wondering how hard it would be to get the money on at that price.
__________________
One Drive

"If the corporates are treating you poorly , just go elsewhere."
"If they need you , they will soon find out."
"If you need them , you will soon find out."
--moeee
_______________________________________________
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 24th November 2012, 01:57 AM
SpeedyBen SpeedyBen is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2012
Posts: 464
Default

It depends on their price before the run and also where they settle in running. Sometimes I can get a better price in running when the fav has settled in a winning position than the tote price showing on the screen. I have no idea why. On other occasions a well positioned fav will trade really short.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 24th November 2012, 04:03 AM
Bhagwan Bhagwan is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,428
Default

Another angle is to lay the Fav at 20% less than its starting price,
in-running .

Then set a Back bet up to go on once price blows out by 20% of its starting price , in-running, once Lay bet has been matched.

Once both are matched , one has the option to let it ride, so that we make a profit if it wins & break even if it loses.
OR
Hedge the matched bets for an equal profit whether it wins or losses.

Best to use 1400m+ races.
This gives us more time to set the bets.
__________________
Cheers.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Forum Jump



All times are GMT +10. The time now is 07:48 AM.


Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
©2008 OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved . ACN 091184655