#1
|
|||
|
|||
Try This one
1. No maidens, hurdles, stakes, Cups, Group, Fillies or mixed Fillies and Mares races.
2. 1000m to 2240m on good or dead tracks. 3. 3 to 5yr. olds who are 3rd or 4th up only 4. 7 to 21 days since last spell 5. 20% and above win SR 6. Selection is the horse with the top AE that passes the above rules. 7. Bet win only preferably if 9/1 or less. ---------------------------------- ASCOT Sat. 27th Oct. 1/4 unp 2/5 DANTE'S DASH 4.50w 1.60p 4/4 GUYNO 2.60w 1.50p 5/2 MY TIME 7.80w 1.80p 7/7 CANNY JACK 1.60p 9/7 EL PRESIDENTE 2.00w 1.20p Win o/l 5 R 16.90 P 11.90 Place o/l 5 R 7.70 P 2.70 ------------------------------------ MORPHETTVILLE 3/1 SAVLATE 2.40 p 4/4 MCFLY 3.30w 2.00p 5/5 BEAUTY SCHOOL 2.40w 1.80p 6/4 ORME 2.40 p 7/10 PICK THE INDIAN 6.10w 2.30p 8/7 unp Win o/l 6 R 11.80 P 5.80 Place o/l 6 R 8.50 P 2.50 -------------------------- Rocky 3/3 unp 5/1 MASSIAH 2.90w 1.80p 7/1 unp 8/5 CALL SECURITY 2.60p Win o/l 3 R 2.90 Loss 0.10 Place o/l 3 R 4.40 P 1.40 -------------------------------------- Sale Sund. 28th 5/2 Elkedra 1.50p 6/5 Street Parade 2.10p 9/5 Abeauty unp Win o/l 3 R 0.0 Loss 3 Place o/l 3 R 3.60 P 0.60 ------------------------------- WARRACKNABEAL 7/4 Bolle 2.00w 1.40p Win o/l 1 R 2.0 P 1 Place o/l 1 R 1.40 P 0.40 ------------------------------- benalla 6/2 Slick Nick 2.20w 1.50p Win o/l 1 R 2.20 P 1.20 Place o/l 1 R 1.50 P 0.50 ------------------------------- WERRIBEE CUP Day 31 Oct. 3/7 Greatwall Of China 1.80p 4/2 Gee Up unp 5/2 Brave World unp 6/2 Speak Of The Devil unp 9/3 Jest For Fun 2.10p BALAKLAVA 8/1 Sea Of Millais 2.00p Win o/l 6 R 0.0 Loss 6 Place o/l 6 R 5.90 Loss 0.10 ------------------------------------------------------- Ascot 9/3 unp Win o/l 1 R 0 L 1 Place o/l 1 R 0 L 1 ------------------------------------------------------ Seymour 7/1 Secret Tunnel 7.20w 2.10p Win o/l 1 R 7.20 P 6.20 Place o/l 1 R 2.10 P 1.10 ------------------------------------------------------- Ascot [Sat. Nov. 3] 4/1 1.90p 6/1 unp 7/2 3.90w 1.50p 8/5 1.30p Win o/l 4 R 3.90 L 0.10 Place o/l 4 R 4.70 P 0.70 ------------------------------------ Sat. MORPHETTVILLE 5/5 unp. Win o/l 1 R 0 Loss 1 Place o/l 1 R 0 Loss 1 ------------------------------------ BENDIGO Wed. 14 4/7 Camp Dawn 2.50p 5/5 Kioni 1.70p 8/2 CAPTIOUS 2.80w 1.40p 9/6 Tereschenko unp BALAKLAVA r7/2 Wonsok $1.80w P 1.10p Win o/l 5 R 4.60 L 0.40 Place o/l 5 R 6.70 P 1.70 --------------------------------------- Win o/l 37 R 51.5 P 14.5 Place o/l 37 R 45.1 P 8.1 Total o/l 74 R 96.6 P 22.6 --------------------------------------- MOONEE VALLEY Fri night. 2/2 x 4/6 x 6/6 1.80p 7/2 2.00p 8/1 x ROCKHAMPTON 3/2 x 4/1 1.50p 6/1 1.30p ----------------------------------- SANDOWN-LAKESIDE Sat. 17 3/1 x 4/3 x CHELTENHAM PARK 5/2 3.00w 1.30p 6/4 5.40w 2.40p 7/3 x MORNINGTON 8/6 3.30w 1.70p TOWNSVILLE 5/7 1.70p -------------------------------- Last edited by crash : 17th November 2007 at 07:05 PM. |
#2
|
|||
|
|||
What is AE?
|
#3
|
|||
|
|||
AE=Average Earnings
|
#4
|
|||
|
|||
The system works well with 3 to 5yr. olds who are 3rd to 5th up, but I changed it to 3rd to 4th up as it's easier to pick the selections [most formguides don't show last 5 starts].
A certain amount of common sense is needed when selecting top AE after the other rules have been satisfied. There is no point ending up with a horse with the 7th highest AE because the first 6 highest didn't fit the other rules. If I can't find a selection by the 3rd or 4th [depending on field size] highest AE that fits the rules, I ignore the race. 4. 7 to 21 days since last spell [should read last start]. Last rule should read: 'Bet only if less than $10 SP'. Also, I wouldn't advise using this system [or any other for that matter] in NSW or tracks in southern QLD for at least 2mths. until horse fitness levels get back to normal cycle. Last edited by crash : 18th November 2007 at 07:21 AM. |
#5
|
|||
|
|||
Sund. 18
ARARAT r4/5 [5th up] r6/3 r8/6 r9/4 STRATHALBYN 6/4 YARRA GLEN 5/9 7/11 BUNBURY 7/6 --------------------------------- |
#6
|
|||
|
|||
Sund. 18
ARARAT r4/5 [5th up] x r6/3 2.50p r8/6 [odds over $10, so no bet] r9/4 scr. STRATHALBYN 6/4 x YARRA GLEN 5/9 x 7/11 scr. BUNBURY 7/6 [odds over $10, no bet] So only 3 bets for a losing day. |
#7
|
|||
|
|||
What about Shanghai Pete in Tasmania race 7? I backed that too cause I thought it fitted the criteria. Did I misread the criteria?
|
#8
|
|||
|
|||
I failed to look at Tas. so you got the rules right.
SHANGHAI PETE 17.60w 4.30p The system does throw up some long-shots, but to keep my number of bets down I don't back double figure odds. It's a personal thing really as I have no long term data to decide a definite odds range to follow. The System is my own creation and the selection in this thread are all there is so far. I have no idea how the system will hold up. Anyway, I hope you had a win in Tas! |
#9
|
|||
|
|||
Any more tips crash?
|
#10
|
|||
|
|||
I haven't been following it because of the weather.
|
Thread Tools | Search this Thread |
Display Modes | |
|
|