#71
|
|||
|
|||
Results: June 30th
Well there you go
Arctic Park wrecked the fun but the win of Jewel Point made up for it. I must start backing those long shots That's it for the time being. There's something else in the workshop but it's a little way away. Prices from the B.A.T. Gold Play was a scratching. ==================== Lay 11.00 or less ---------- BLMT02-05 Hide The Loot 3.45 ... WON -2.45 BLMT05-06 Old Guru 9.80 ... LOST +1.00 BLMT07-01 Arctic Park 10.00 ... WON -9.00 BLMT07-08 River Mist 9.40 ... LOST +1.00 CHEL03-07 Tic Toc Tac 9.20 ... LOST +1.00 GCST06-04 Authoress 8.20 ... LOST +1.00 GCST06-08 Wheel The Lead 11.00 ... LOST +1.00 MORN06-08 Juivanka 9.00 ... LOST +1.00 MORN07-06 Chu Chu Mama 4.60 ... LOST +1.00 RAND03-07 Grizz 9.20 ... LOST +1.00 SANH06-02 Chiack 8.20 ... LOST +1.00 SANH08-12 Corporal Nediym* 8.00 ... LOST +1.00 Results April 21st - June 30th ---------- Number of Selections: 157.00 Observed Successes: 139.00 Observed Strike Rate: 88.54% Expected Successes: 127.01 Expected Strike Rate: 80.90% Advantage: 9.44% Success due to luck: 0.27% Profit: +27.15 units Commission @ 5%: -6.95 units Net Profit: +20.20 units Net ROI: +12.86% ==================== ==================== Back 11.50 or greater ---------- BLMT02-03 Mythalo 14.00 ... LOST -1.00 BLMT06-06 Metal Power 25.00 ... LOST -1.00 BLMT06-07 Reactive Thunder 12.00 ... LOST -1.00 CHEL05-01 El Seigneur 13.50 ... LOST -1.00 CHEL05-07 Miss Presley 22.00 ... LOST -1.00 CHEL07-10 Silent Action 12.00 ... LOST -1.00 GCST09-09 Crackaway 15.00 ... LOST -1.00 HAWK09-12 Jewel Point 32.00 ... WON +31.00 MORN06-06 Robbery Under Arms 12.50 ... LOST -1.00 MORN08-05 Senor De Lago 21.00 ... LOST -1.00 MORN09-07 Madison Trail 18.50 ... LOST -1.00 RAND02-02 Avoid Heathrow 27.00 ... LOST -1.00 RAND05-07 Rose Of Ghataas 20.00 ... LOST -1.00 SANH08-04 Snappy Tom 15.00 ... LOST -1.00 SCST02-06 Court Adjourned 16.50 ... LOST -1.00 Results April 21st - June 30th ---------- Number of Selections: 188.00 Observed Successes: 15.00 Observed Strike Rate: 7.98% Expected Successes: 9.60 Expected Strike Rate: 5.11% Advantage: 56.26% Success due to luck: 14.61% Profit: +113.00 units Commission @ 5%: -15.05 units Net Profit: +97.95 units Net ROI: +52.10% ==================== * I gave Corporal Nediym a promotion when I posted the selections.
__________________
Pixie "It's worth remembering that profit isn't profit until it's spent off the racecourse." -- Crash |
#72
|
|||
|
|||
Well done Angry Pixie, it's all good hey
Interesting to note the profit and POT is better by backing the longer horses than laying the shorter ones. Combine them both and you have a pretty good consistent return.
__________________
RaceCensus - powerful system testing software. Now with over 400,000 Metropolitan, Provincial and Country races! http://www.propun.com.au/horse_raci...ng_systems.html *RaceCensus now updated to 30/04/2024 Video overview of RaceCensus here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W821YP_b0Pg |
#73
|
|||
|
|||
Thanks Chrome. It's done pretty well for such a simple system. The profit and advantage figures are merging together a bit but I'll be happy if I can keep the lay side around the 10% mark. There'll be better prices now it's not public.
Saturday was one of the best day's on the lay this year. Finished 30.9 units up
__________________
Pixie "It's worth remembering that profit isn't profit until it's spent off the racecourse." -- Crash |
#74
|
|||
|
|||
Selections: March 8th 2008
Let's blow the cobwebs off and see if this still works. Lay if $11 or less at the jump, otherwise back them. Other venues to follow.
E_FM02-13 Beartracker E_FM03-03 Rhymenoreason E_FM04-04 Reincarnation FLEM06-02 Magnus FLEM09-06 Orange County FLEM09-09 Count To Zero NCLE01-04 Lady's Counsel NCLE07-03 Alotta Lute NCLE08-02 Carnegie Prince NCLE09-04 Centover NCLE09-10 Oriental Belle RHIL09-05 Spy Zam
__________________
Pixie "It's worth remembering that profit isn't profit until it's spent off the racecourse." -- Crash |
#75
|
|||
|
|||
Selections: March 8th 2008 cont.
BR_H03-04 Delta Devil
BR_H04-06 Dandy Jester EHPE06-06 Ivortov EHPE08-04 Kanejake GCST05-03 Gypsy Mist GCST05-05 Tread Lightly GCST06-06 Legally Hot GCST06-08 Kalinga Ivor MORP08-07 Catwalk Minnie TWBA03-05 Aussie Sunset TWBA05-11 Laertes TWBA07-09 But Say
__________________
Pixie "It's worth remembering that profit isn't profit until it's spent off the racecourse." -- Crash |
#76
|
|||
|
|||
Doing well so far, Pixie (touch wood).
|
#77
|
|||
|
|||
Results: March 8th 2008
Well that still works I guess. The "Lay 11.00 or less" group could have been better but only finished -2.55* units down. The "Back 11.50 or greater" group did well and ended +$19.97* units up. Overall a +17.42* unit profit for the day. Not too bad for an old system. I'll have another go some other day.
Prices from B.A.T. ==================== Lay 11.00 or less ---------- E_FM02-13 Beartracker 7.40 ... LOST +0.95 E_FM03-03 Rhymenoreason 5.50 ... LOST +0.95 E_FM04-04 Reincarnation 8.00 ... LOST +0.95 EHPE06-06 Ivortov 8.80 ... LOST +0.95 EHPE08-04 Kanejake 8.00 ... LOST +0.95 FLEM09-06 Orange County 9.20 ... WON -8.20 GCST05-05 Tread Lightly 10.50 ... LOST +0.95 GCST06-06 Legally Hot 11.00 ... LOST +0.95 NCLE01-04 Lady's Counsel 5.00 ... LOST +0.95 NCLE07-03 Alotta Lute 6.20 ... LOST +0.95 NCLE08-02 Carnegie Prince 5.80 ... WON -4.80 NCLE09-04 Centover 9.20 ... LOST +0.95 NCLE09-10 Oriental Belle 9.00 ... LOST +0.95 ==================== ==================== Back 11.50 or greater ---------- BR_H03-04 Delta Devil 15.00 ... WON +13.3 BR_H04-06 Dandy Jester 23.00 ... LOST -1.00 FLEM06-02 Magnus 16.00 ... LOST -1.00 FLEM09-09 Count To Zero 13.00 ... LOST -1.00 GCST05-03 Gypsy Mist 11.50 ... LOST -1.00 GCST06-08 Kalinga Ivor 42.00 ... LOST -1.00 MORP08-07 Catwalk Minnie 75.00 ... LOST -1.00 RHIL09-05 Spy Zam 21.00 ... LOST -1.00 TWBA03-05 Aussie Sunset 28.00 ... LOST -1.00 TWBA05-11 Laertes 34.00 ... LOST -1.00 TWBA07-09 But Say 17.50 ... WON +15.67 ==================== * 5% Betfair commission has been deducted from all wins
__________________
Pixie "It's worth remembering that profit isn't profit until it's spent off the racecourse." -- Crash Last edited by AngryPixie : 9th March 2008 at 04:05 PM. |
#78
|
|||
|
|||
Selections: March 15th 2008
Let's push out luck a little more. Other venues to follow.
FLEM02-01 Merlot Now FLEM02-07 Lancettier FLEM07-06 Cargo Cult GEEL01-02 Distraction GEEL08-06 Green Gem K_GR05-05 Catchadane K_GR10-07 I r i s h Myth RHIL01-07 Lancaster Park RHIL04-05 Exinite RHIL05-03 Canary Islands TAR_03-02 Sequenjar
__________________
Pixie "It's worth remembering that profit isn't profit until it's spent off the racecourse." -- Crash |
#79
|
|||
|
|||
Selections: March 15th 2008 cont.
CHEL03-05 Gold Lens
CHEL03-09 Shanetty CHEL04-04 Le Niska DOOM01-07 I'm A Leader DOOM01-08 Monashee Knight DOOM02-07 Oh Ruby DOOM03-04 Digging Deep DOOM04-04 Sir Coup DOOM05-05 Fine Cheval DOOM08-11 Spirito Volante GCST05-08 Jakelli GCST06-06 Scent Of Gold GCST07-03 Patties Mate GCST08-01 Teletrader GCST09-04 Norse Code
__________________
Pixie "It's worth remembering that profit isn't profit until it's spent off the racecourse." -- Crash |
#80
|
|||
|
|||
Selections: March 15th 2008 cont.
TWBA01-09 Mother Craft
TWBA03-03 Backinaflash TWBA04-03 Casaco That's it for today!
__________________
Pixie "It's worth remembering that profit isn't profit until it's spent off the racecourse." -- Crash |
Thread Tools | Search this Thread |
Display Modes | |
|
|