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  #41  
Old 12th October 2005, 01:28 PM
Glenno Glenno is offline
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Default hermes' QTAB system

The system, located at a, was created by hermes on 10/9/2002. The rules are as follows:

Rule 1: Races of 14 or less runners only.
Rule 2: Country races weekdays preferred.
Rule 3: Good or fast tracks only.
Rule 4: Only consider TABs 2-3, 4-5 and 6-7. Don't replace scratchings.
Rule 5: Look at the QTAB rating of the favourite (or the runner you believe will start favourite at jump). Now search the TAB 2-7 range for two runners with ratings directly below the favourite. For example, if the fave is rated 100 look for 99, then 98, then 97 and so on.
Rule 6: Maximum of two selections.
Rule 7: If all runners 2-7 are rated above the favourite, no bet.

hermes comments: "This system is a direct spin-off from some recent posts, mainly that of Bhagwan. It works OK on paper.

"Often, where the favourite is not the highest rated runner, there is only one selection.

"I've tested this over 120-plus races for a profit on turnover of 7.8 per cent. Promising. What is interesting is that it works better than looking at runners rated better than the favourite.

"As a general observation, with these sort of systems you need filters that pull both ways - one up and one down. By only looking at TAB numbers two to seven you already have a filter that places you in the statistically rich band of starters. To add to this another filter that looks for quality (those rated above the favourite) won't do as well as one that filters out some quality (those rated below the favourite). Thus in Bhagwan's original post, he filtered out last start placegetters - ostensibly good runners. I think that is usually the right type of move - one filter up (only TAB numbers two to seven), one filter down (only last start failures)."

The staking plan he recommends is as per Bhagwan's sensational bad horse method. That is, if TAB number two or three, bet four units; if TAB number four or five, bet three units; if TAB number six or seven, bet two units.
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  #42  
Old 18th October 2005, 01:00 PM
Glenno Glenno is offline
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Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Glenno
The system, located at a, was created by hermes on 10/9/2002.

URL: http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=1566
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  #43  
Old 18th October 2005, 01:06 PM
Glenno Glenno is offline
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The system, located at http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=1601, was created by ubetido on 15/9/2002. The rules are as follows:

Rule 1: Only look at pre post favourite or equal favourites
Rule 2: Has to be 5/2 ($3.50) or more in the prepost.
Rule 3: Must have form figures of 11 or 21 at its last two starts.
Rule 4: Must have had at least four runs in this time in.
Rule 5: Must have run 21 days or less.
Rule 6: Distance must be within 250 metres up or down from last start.
Rule 7: Last run must have been on a city track.

ubetido comments: "Did some research with this and had some interesting results especially for the place longest run of outs was four if memory serves me correct.

"With all the wisdom in this forum a appropriate staking plan to maximise profit and minimise loss may be ideal.

"There it is quite simple check it out with your own research you may be able to improve on it."
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  #44  
Old 18th October 2005, 01:19 PM
Glenno Glenno is offline
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The system, located at http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=1622, was created by Fryingpan on 19/9/2002. The rules are as follows:

Rule 1: Count up in a race the total of horses with tabq rating of 94 or bette
Rule 2: Add one to this total to give the expected dividend.
Rule 3: Find amongst those which have 94 or better and came fifth or better last start which meet the dividend.
Rule 4: If the dividend is below the expected dividend then bet only if there is one selectable. Two is the maximum if at the expected dividend and bet on three horses only if the dividend is 50 per cent above the expected dividend, etc (give or take 50 cents).

Fryingpan comments: "This post follows on from Bhagwan's amazing crappy staking plan. It's based on ability and on distribution of ability in a given race.

"The overall result is finding value amongst distribution of ability."

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  #45  
Old 19th October 2005, 12:50 PM
Glenno Glenno is offline
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Default Group system

The system, located at http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=1656, was developed by several members (form_pro, trench_digger, shy, Equine_Investor, TESSAROSSA, darkydog2002, croft, enjay and Bhagwan) between 26/9/2002 and 6/10/2002. The rules are as follows:

Rule 1: Must be in the top five of win/place percentage.
Rule 2: Up 200 metres (maximum) on last start; down 0 metres on last start.
Rule 3: Must be paying at least $2 for the win with 15 minutes to race time.
Rule 4: Horse must have won once this preparation and must have not had a break of more than 30 days between runs.
Rule 5: Not going up more then three kilograms in weight from last start.
Rule 6: Wizard weight rating 91 to 100.
Rule 7: Wizard time rating 92 to 100.
Rule 8: Wizard field strength -20 to +1.5.
Rule 9: Jockey must have strike rate of 1 in 6 or better.
Rule 10: Within 2.5 lengths of winner last start.
Rule 11: Minimum of four starts in this preparation.
Rule 12: Age three, four or five years old.
Rule 13: Ran first, second or third last start; 1000-1600 within two lenghts; 1600-2000 within 3 lengths.
Rule 14: Must have the lettter R in its name.

Last edited by Glenno : 19th October 2005 at 12:55 PM.
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  #46  
Old 19th October 2005, 12:55 PM
Glenno Glenno is offline
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Default 1200-metre Race Plan

The system, located at http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=1760, was created by Bhagwan on 16/10/2002. The rules are as follows:

Rule 1: The race distance has to be exactly 1200 metres only
Rule 2: Must be a last start winner by 1.8 lengths or more
Rule 3: Barrier number two to 12 (inclusive).
Rule 4: Field size can be anything except 10, 11 or 12 starters.
Rule 5: 12 to 20 days since last start.
Rule 6: Must be 7/2 ($4.50) or over in newspaper pre-post market.
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  #47  
Old 24th October 2005, 02:10 PM
Glenno Glenno is offline
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Default Place betting system

URL: http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=1866
Username: Bhagwan
Date: 1/11/2002

Rule 1: Target the horses with TABQ (TAB Queensland) weight ratings of 100 points.
Rule 2: No bet if 2 or more 100-pointers in the same race.
Rule 3: Bet only in races with eight to 12 starters only.
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  #48  
Old 24th October 2005, 02:15 PM
Glenno Glenno is offline
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Default Seven-Day Last-Start Crappers Plan

URL: http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=1906
Username: Bhagwan
Date: 7/11/2002

Rule 1: Must have run fifth or worse last start in last seven days or less.
Rule 2: Must of run first or second at second last start.
Rule 3: TAB No. 1-8.
Rule 4: Distance change from last start must be between -350 and +150 metres.
Rule 5: Back all the final selections.

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  #49  
Old 24th October 2005, 02:19 PM
Glenno Glenno is offline
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Default Last-Start Winner Plan

URL: http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=1822
Username: Bhagwan
Date: 25/10/2002

Rule 1: Last start winner in last seven days.
Rule 2: Distance 1200 to 1600 metres.
Rule 3: Field size nine to 13 runners.
Rule 4: TAB numbers 5 to 12.
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  #50  
Old 24th October 2005, 02:25 PM
Glenno Glenno is offline
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Default Ratings from prizemoney

URL: http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=1821
Username: Equine_Investor
Date: 25/10/2002

Rule 1: You need the Sportsman (or similar) giving the total prizemoney for each race your horse has competed in.
Rule 2: You allocate prizemoney from that race on lengths from winner. [For example, if your runner won the race of $100,000 prizemoney you give him $100,000. If your runner ran third by 2.5 lengths, you give him $100,000 divided by 2.5 = $40,000. If your runner ran 8th 9.6 lengths behind the winner you allocate $100,000 divided by 9.6 = $10,417 (rounded up).]
Rule 3: You then add up all the prizemoney from every runner in today's race. You divide your runners total prizemoney (calculated by you) into the total of the field. Anything above this price is "overs".

Equine_Investor comments: "Play around with it, you may be surprised at some results etc.
"Any input positive or negative (constructive) welcome.
"Bear in mind it's the rough workings of a raving lunatic with too much time on his hands and there are other factors which should also be considered."
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