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  #51  
Old 25th July 2011, 10:11 AM
The Ocho The Ocho is offline
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I'm not sure what markets you are doing this on 4legs but if it is the Aussie markets then 120 seconds won't give you too much except maybe on a Saturday as the markets simply don't form properly until after that time.
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  #52  
Old 25th July 2011, 04:14 PM
4legs 4legs is offline
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Thanks Ocho.

Starting tomorrow I will take a snapshot at 120, 90, 60, 30 & 10 seconds before close using the last traded priced and will rank them according to their price at each snapshop. I will also record the Total Matched.
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  #53  
Old 27th July 2011, 08:14 PM
4legs 4legs is offline
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Ok - much more volatility now - will record until the end of the month and then select some trends and then follow them for August. I will also post some data on liquidity at the various snapshops ... Fred
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  #54  
Old 31st July 2011, 11:25 PM
The Ocho The Ocho is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bhagwan

Av stat is
30% 1st Fav
20% 2nd Fav
15% 3rd fav.

Hi Bhagwan. Regarding the stats above, are they standard for all Aus racing?
Do you happen to have the average dividends that would accompany those stats?
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  #55  
Old 4th August 2011, 08:06 PM
4legs 4legs is offline
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Default Thred Wrap Up

End Result: My theory did not hold up as I expected, so I am discontinuing the thread and my tracking.

I would not believe that after only 1 month's tracking, you could get so much data in relation to FIRMING and DRIFTING horses. I am sure it is enough to fill at least 1 book when you take it all the various amounts, times, situations and try and quantify!

For me, I find it to large a subject to try and summarise, and also, as with stats, one could easily slant them to suites one persuasion, which was not my aim.

However if I had to list one finding, the one thing that did come through it all was LAYING showed more potential than BACKING - so maybe therein lies a clue!

Good Punting ... Fred
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  #56  
Old 4th August 2011, 10:29 PM
Bhagwan Bhagwan is offline
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They are all favs as they are .

No price ranges.

Each price range will have a different win percentage.

Example.
Odds on shots win approx 55%

4.60+ Favs win approx 20%

If you are going to chase Favs , its usually best to go for 3.00+ shots
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  #57  
Old 7th August 2011, 06:02 PM
4legs 4legs is offline
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Thanks Bhagwan. For me it seemed like a good idea at the time, but have decided it is not the go for me, so this month I am having a go at laying.

Even though I will be betting it will still be an experimental month so I will see how I go by the end of the month.

My Laying will be nothing ground breaking and will be based on ideas and comments from this form.

Fred
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