Also Hamilton 2) #3

__________________
GO VOUVRAY

Well what i have been noticing. It is *very* early days, only 21 selections. But i have not had a winner which has been in a field of less than 10 starters.

Ill keep a record of it to see if this trend continues in the next 100 starters.

__________________
GO VOUVRAY

I notice it has 2 spells in its last 4 starts,i always keep my eye out for these horses,i put them in the fun catagory and have a little bet on em,you get some nice priced winners.

The theory is that the trainer thinks he has a good horse and is taking it along slowly waiting for it to reach maturity.

Well we will find out in little over an hour wont we. Hehe. But there are less than 10 runners in this event, and so far, not one winner has come from a field smaller than 10. But there is always time for a first, and hope today is that day.

__________________
GO VOUVRAY

Okay, I just noticed this thread.

I actually had a bit of fun a few years back following sole first-uppers in fields of 12 or more and particularly in races of 1300m+.

By the way, on a similar note, you could also take a look at sole first starters. By that I mean, the only horse in the race which is having it's first career start. Again fields of 12 or more and concentrate on maidens.

Don't think it's any holy grail or anything, but it's not bad for a bit of fun or perhaps include these horses in multis.

Dale, I don't think your reasoning is correct (post 14) with regard to this horse in Hamilton R5. It looks like it was injured or something last time in. To accept the risk of betting on it (Deneuve) the price would have to be much longer AND the trainer would have to be displaying much more confidence than is the case today. Only half an hour to go.
PS. What's your E-Mail Dale? Gothehalalau or something like that? Cheers.

Yep well spotted 57,thats the trouble with those horses but sometimes my throery holds up,if like you say the odds outway the risk then its worth a punt.

Yeah my email is something like that,it should be gothehalatau not gothehalalau

Can i expect a love letter sometime soon lol.

I did some research on resumers once & it produced a profit when targeting 1400m races for resumers , I found that strange because the stats say the percentage to starters is greater in 1200m races & less .

One wont get many bets.

Maybe there is a good reason why most trainers do not place their horses in the 1201+m range race .

__________________
Cheers.

Interesting post bhagwan...kinda flies in the face of what i assumed. That's good. Thanks

Yep. That's what I found just looking at results over the years. As I said, races of 1300m+ and preferably 1400m+.