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  #21  
Old 16th April 2008, 04:43 PM
crash crash is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mancunian
Nice one Crash, going well for quite a while now - but can you clarify please - your last reply says "I just pick lowest weight runners at 2nd or 3rd start" but your original rules said "Must be 3rd or 4th up". Can we presume this was just a slip of the pen ..er ...finger as todays selections look like they are based on 3rd and 4th up
Keep it up.....Mancunian


Just a typo, I meant 3rd or 4th start.
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  #22  
Old 16th April 2008, 07:22 PM
jacfin jacfin is offline
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Talking Slow tracks

Today on the slow tracks ( RK and DT ) there were 6 selns for a winner at 15.40 and three placegetters at 2.3, 4.1 and 8.3.
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  #23  
Old 17th April 2008, 07:52 AM
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The results all tracks where:

DEVONPORT [s]
6/7 [$8.30p]
DOOMBEN
5/7 x
6/13 x
7/12,13 x
KALGOORLIE
3/7,9 x
4/10 [$3.50w $1.50p]
5/10 x
7/12 x
RANDWICK-KENSING [s]
4/13,14 [4.50p]
6/10 [$15.40w $4.10p],11 x
7/12 x
SANDOWN-HILLSIDE
2/9 x
4/10 x
STRATHALBYN
7/6,7 x
8/8 x
9/7x


Taking out the slow tracks, a losing day. Maybe they should be left in [?]

Last edited by crash : 17th April 2008 at 07:58 AM.
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  #24  
Old 17th April 2008, 10:34 AM
Mancunian Mancunian is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by crash
Taking out the slow tracks, a losing day. Maybe they should be left in [?]

Lightweights can have an advantage on Slow/Heavy tracks so how about including them IF they have been placed on slow or heavy tracks previously.

cheers ...mancunian
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  #25  
Old 17th April 2008, 10:51 AM
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I'll just note S or H meeting and throw the results in as above. I won't worry about prev. wins in H or S yet. [too many filters too soon] If the horses are running in those conditions. The trainers might know something we don't!
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  #26  
Old 17th April 2008, 11:00 AM
jacfin jacfin is offline
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Default Slow/ Heavy

I can't think of a logical reason to discard these tracks.
As Mancunian said min weighted horses may even be advantaged slightly.
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  #27  
Old 17th April 2008, 04:16 PM
jacfin jacfin is offline
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Default Onya Crash

I can count the number of double figure place bets that i have collected on in my life on two hands.
Today -- two in half an hour. Back Tracks is the longest price placegetter that I have ever backed.
Thanks Crash
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  #28  
Old 17th April 2008, 04:44 PM
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HAWKESBURY [s]
8/10 OUR CHINA PLATE [$12.70p]
ADELAIDE
R6 BACK TRACKS [$11.70p]

Both were over 50/1 however, so I'm not claiming them. If I'd have bet all horses over 50/1. I think the system would be in loss. However, for wet tracks I don't know.


I certainly think your on to something though re wet tracks and perhaps change the odds for the wet.

Last edited by crash : 17th April 2008 at 05:09 PM.
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  #29  
Old 17th April 2008, 05:56 PM
jacfin jacfin is offline
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Talking Back Tracks

It paid 16.80 where I backed it and a couple of dollars more in NSW.
Unitab punters got way under the odds. It was only $34 SP with the bookie. Our China Plate at $81 was a genuine outsider.
I had decided to ignore the 50/1 rule but, based on what you say, I'll think about it some more.
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  #30  
Old 17th April 2008, 06:09 PM
crash crash is offline
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Point is I think your grabbing exceptions outside the rules. If you had bet all those exceptions since I started the system, you wouldn't be looking so good.

The wet tracks though, might apply. keep it up!
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