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#11
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Quote:
What a very insightful post. Woof43 could you elaborate a bit. This is something I never ever thought of (I guess in a round about way maybe). Can you give an example of a race and the variables one should use? How do you rate your fellow punters (overbets, underbets) ? Any insight would be very interesting. |
#12
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seconded
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#13
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The stats show that the average price of the Fav in the 8th race is higher than
the 1st race & corresponding races there after, on the day. One would approx break even targeting the Fav on the last race betting level stakes. The SR is approx 24%, yet its av price is around $4.00 mark. This 24% SR on the 8th race is a lot lower than say race No.1 onwards The average price increases on a sliding scale from races 1-8. and its SR drops from races 1-8 correspondingly.
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#14
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I've tried to look all over the place (and I know I should know this ) but what is the generally accepted statistic/strike rate of faves for both the win and the place?
I thought it was 33% and 66% but then some have said 30% win. I still don't know the place percentage though. Any one know? Thanks. |
#15
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Approx 64% for the place where there are not dual favs
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#16
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Thanks Bhagwan
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#17
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Here's a breakdown win and place % for favourites by race and Win POT %.
Code:
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RaceCensus - powerful system testing software. Now with over 399,000 Metropolitan, Provincial and Country races! http://www.propun.com.au/horse_raci...ng_systems.html *RaceCensus now updated to 31/03/2024 Video overview of RaceCensus here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W821YP_b0Pg |
#18
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Thanks CP. The faves sure do head downhill strike rate wise in the later races however, as said in the thread, the prices may then rise to compensate?
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#19
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All been done before and is very useful to know, but will the majority put this knowledge to use?
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#20
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I,ll hazard a guess and say NO.
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