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  #1  
Old 29th March 2012, 01:43 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Posts: 2,790
Wink Lay Outsider System

I've returned to one of my faves - that is laying outsiders.

This one is different to my other ones because it provides much more action.

Over the past seven days there's been 127 selections for 127 smiles which is an average of 18 per day, and it doesn't interfere with my laying the field method.

I'll list the selections and hope the Forum Curse does not attack it.

Toowoomba
4/7
6/12
7/13
8/5

Hawkesbury
2/12

Geelong
6/3
7/3

Albany
4/1
6/10
7/11
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  #2  
Old 29th March 2012, 02:33 PM
The Ocho The Ocho is offline
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Default

Good luck with it MG.

But outsiders
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― Earl Nightingale
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  #3  
Old 29th March 2012, 03:05 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Wink

I know, laying outsiders can be heart-attack material.

But doing this has made me a fair bit of money. On Monday I transferred $8,000 from my Betfair to my bank account. Maybe I've been very lucky, and that could now easily change.
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  #4  
Old 29th March 2012, 03:07 PM
The Ocho The Ocho is offline
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O man. That's a nice transfer. I think I transferred $200 once.
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Never give up on a dream just because of the time it will take to accomplish it. The time will pass anyway.”

― Earl Nightingale
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  #5  
Old 29th March 2012, 03:54 PM
Raven Raven is offline
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Posts: 225
Talking

Quote:
Originally Posted by The Ocho
O man. That's a nice transfer. I think I transferred $200 once.
LOL!
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  #6  
Old 29th March 2012, 09:23 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Wink

Not a bad start. After one scratching there were 9 selections for 9 smiles. One of them ended up at the maximum price of $1,000 yet it was only $168 on the TAB. I've never come across any TAB divvy (winner or loser) to pay around $1,000 or even remotely close to it. Maybe for more of a level playing-field Betfair could consider reducing their max price of $1,000 to $500 or whatever, even though a $1,000 winner would be a very attractive promotional tool.

Laying each of today's selections for a liability of $33 produced a profit of $3.88.
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  #7  
Old 30th March 2012, 11:55 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Wink

Today's selections are:

Ipswich
3/4
6/17
7/9

Coffs
3/2
4/8
5/14
7/12
8/4

Mornington
5/10
6/8
7/8
8/15

Canberra
2/9
6/14

Cranbourne
5/5
6/1
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  #8  
Old 30th March 2012, 09:22 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Wink

Not a bad day. There were 16 smiles from the 16 selections for a profit of $17.02.
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  #9  
Old 31st March 2012, 08:47 AM
norisk norisk is offline
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I seem to remember a winner in a pommy race many many years ago @ $1000 on BF.

Probably a once/twice a decade type scenario which is still probably often enough to retire the layer, psychologically if not financially, not one to mention to your mates about down the pub I would have thought.
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  #10  
Old 31st March 2012, 09:39 AM
Merriguy Merriguy is offline
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Posts: 609
Question

Michael,

I'm not sure of the logic of your 'outsiders' picks.

Why is it that you choose only one in the races you are going to operate on? For instance in yesterday's Canberra Race 6 you chose one horse (14) whereas there were horses 3, 9, 13, and 15 all over 30 to 1 too (and none of them got even a place).

I realise that this means you have 5 horses against you instead of 1 (if you lay them all); but they were all as unlikely to salute as the one you chose (given the prices). After all there were 15 horses in the race anyway!

In the other Canberra race (race 2) there were only 8 starters (so 6 to oppose your choice); and I can see the wisdom of not choosing more than the one in that case.
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