It's a selection system I use to lay the worst-rated horse in certain races that have to adhere to a couple of (logical?) rules.

In the testing period there were 127 selections for 127 smiles, and since listing the selections here there have been 25 selections for also 25 smiles. So I'm hoping...and also enjoying it. Depending on my gut-feeling/opinion I often increase the size of the bets. Over the past two days my profit is approximately $350, but that could easily change.

I'll list today's selections later.

Thanks for that, Michael. Makes sense.

While I have not a way of rating the horses, I do believe that the market is a strong indicator that you can trust --- and like yourself I have been doing OK recently (touch wood)!

Was going to ask if you multiplied your bets in some way --- the returns seemed rather insignificant. Guessed you must have been operating somehow like that.

A couple of weeks back Angry made a suggestion about what to do with races in which there is an odds on fav.. Have found that valuable too.

Good luck today.

Thanks, Merriguy, and you too.

The price of the selection isn't too important because I'm laying them for a fixed amount. The selections are not necessarily big outsiders, and some of them have even started at single figures. For convenience of the results for this thread, I use a fixed liability of $33.

Today's selections:

Eagle Farm
3/12
4/15
6/15
7/10
8/15

Rosehill
3/8
4/5
5/14
6/1
7/15

Moonee Valley
1/7
4/11
7/11
8/14

Morphetville
2/8
5/13
6/13
7/1

Gold Coast
2/2
3/7
5/12
6/15
7/16

Newcastle
6/12
8/13

Werribee
3/3
4/11
7/5

Sapphire Coast
6/13

Tamworth
4/11
6/3
8/10

Ascot
1/6
2/1
3/13
7/15

Dubbo
3/1

Toowoomba
1/9
4/3
5/6

There are 40 selections, providing none are scratched. That amount is quite scary...

A good day. There were 40 smiles from 40 selections for a profit of $33.00.

Today's selections are:

Randwick
3/11
6/10
7/3

Sale
5/1
6/12

Wagga
6/12
7/11

Sun Coast
4/11
6/9
8/7

Narracoorte
1/6
4/8
5/6
6/5

Pinjarra
5/5
8/9
9/8

Wangaratta
4/12
6/12
7/2

Devenport
4/4
6/9
7/3

To be absolutely accurate, Michael, it was 39/39 yesterday. Eagle Farm 6/15 was a late scratching. Still not bad though!!!!!!! Best of luck today.

Hi MichaelG,

Regarding Narracoorte race 6 no. 5, should the selection be no.9?

The Schmile

__________________
The Schmile

"I buy when other people are selling.”
― J. Paul Getty

Will end in tears. 2 or 3 winners and it's all gone. Good luck though.

Thanks, Merriguy.

I don't know what happened but I recorded it as a smile, for a profit of $0.19. I think I might have made the mistake because I had multiple bets in that race.

The Schmile, maybe we have a somewhat similar selection method but the Narrocoorte R6 selection is definitely no.5. After now confirming it as the selection I hope it doesn't win.

Mark, true but at least it can currently withstand about 5 accidents. I'm hoping the selection process and filters are worthwhile...time will tell.

In fact, I'm betting (not laying) another method that has some connection to the Lay method, and it's showing a good profit without the huge liability.

Not a bad day. There were 23 smiles from the 23 selections for a profit of $16.28.