Michael, I guess you could think about backing those at longer than $7. In the test period, they didn't do well, but that doesn't mean they won't get a winner or two in future. I see there are a couple running today which are longer than $7 and they have some chance.

I had a look at the outside barriers this afternoon BUT using SP's (I don't have PP's in the db). 1991 to 2003 incl.

WIN SR 19.7% AvDiv $3.38 POT -33.4%

PLACE 56.4% AvDiv $1.88 POT +6.4%

cheers

Felicity, are those stats for all outside barrier horses in the $3-$7 SP range???

[ This Message was edited by: sportznut on 2004-02-08 21:05 ]

Using the following rules :-

1.Q, NSW, VIC, SA meetings
2.NO 2Y, J, MDNS, <1200 m.
3.>=8 Starters
4.<=4 last 3 starts
5.>2 Runs From Spell
6.SP $3.00 - $7.00
7.Outside Barrier

WIN SR 19.65% AVDIV $3.62 POT -28.93%

PLACE SR 51.96% AVDIV $1.95 POT +1.10%

rgds

[ This Message was edited by: Felicity on 2004-02-09 13:45 ]

Geez, you can get TWELVE years of results??? That's impressive!!!

Slightly disappointing figures, but I think there might possibly be a slightly better result using pre-post prices. After all, some of the winners that are $3-$7 pre-post, actually start a bit longer than that.

Anyway, it is interesting to note that once again the place did better than the win for those selections.


[ This Message was edited by: sportznut on 2004-02-09 14:48 ]

Here are the figures (same criteria) for Barrier 1

WIN SR 19.52% AVDIV $3.50 POT -31.66%

PLACE SR 51.42% AVDIV $1.92 POT -1.22%

Hmmm, interesting. Very similar figures, but the outside barrier comes out just ahead!

Good old Mac's Tune!!! I hope a few of you backed it today. :smile:

:grin: :grin: :grin:

Sports,

hate to nicpic but if Macs Tune was under your No1 system, wouldn't it have been ineligible under rule 7 ie carrying no more than 58kgs. Well done anyway!

Cheers