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#21
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The figures will be the same no matter what one does .
Why not stop at the first winner for the day ,then stop for the day. I note a niumber of people dont have time to put in to the serious business of the punt At the same time I dont have time to work for someone else ,so I dont. But if you want to aim for a result in punting ,that`s what one has to do ,otherwise ,dont bet. Cheers.
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Cheers. |
#22
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Hi Shaun,
Good result . Were using Win or Place betting.
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#23
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Fav div...
Sorry but I think that any staking plan that doesn't reflect the price of the favourite is just not worth considering. If the market is so accurate (which I also believe) you must bet to return something. Eg bet $33.5 on a $3 favourite but only $25 on a $4 favourite. (Obviously to return $100).
The other way is to bet to make a profit, but this can be quite expensive when the price of the favourite gets too short. I think your staking plan must reflect this. If your first doesn't get home, increase the return you are looking for..... Etc... 1st bet to return $50 2nd bet to return $75 3rd bet to return $112.5 Please note this is not a researched percentage to increase stakes, just an example to back up my thoughts....... |
#24
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Hi BJ
The staking plan attached to this Favs plan ,is based on the min price we are targeting , if you havent already noted that . It only needs a div. of $2.80 to make a profit any where in the sequence. Any divs greater than that are a bonus.
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#25
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Noted...
All I am saying is that the longer the price for the favourite, the less chance it has to win. If you were to have 9 $5 favourites in a row, the chances of losing all of them would be a lot greater than having 9 $2.8 favourites...
If you were to bet to return a figure, you would always know where you stood financially and your bet would always reflect your winning chance.... |
#26
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Bhagwan
I have been off line a few days. I have looked at 470 races looking at $2.80 at the jump using 8 plus starters,betting the place only. The staking plan was 5% of a $500 bank stopping after two losses and resuming after a win. This proved to be a loser but i did notice that the bank went up to $700 in a slightly better place percentage area. The place percentage was about 56% and in the areas that the place % crept up to 60% the bank crept up. On a place only i notice there is a better place percentage in the $2.50 plus range. Can you please do a run on your data base using the following criteria $2.5 plus at jump 8 to 12 starters. Stop at two losses and resume after a win (this saved 46 bets at a cost of 20 odd wins for a gain). I suspect that this will show a profit abeit little. Thankyou in advance |
#27
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Answer 65% place but the LOT was -5% LOT
I cant make the program show stop & start perameters. Have you tried compounding your bets by incresing after a looser until in profit. Repeat bet if a placegetter does not recover all the O/S amount E.g. increasing by say 1.33 10,13,18,24,31,42 ext. OR 1.50 10,15,23,34,51,76 ext
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#28
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bhagwan
Thanks i will run an ongoing sample and a retrospective one. If this shows promise then i will pull a thousand odd random races. Regards Beton |
#29
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RE TAB Favourites Meeting
Hi There
Just wondering for anyone thats following this system whether 1. Your betting across a range of meetings with the staking plan or 2. Your running the staking plan against 1 meeting. Cheers |
#30
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It makes no difference which way one runs it , it pans out the same .
I use it down the board , which means carrying it across meeting to meeting in chronological order.
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