Smartgambler
Pro-Punter

Go Back   OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums > Public Forums > Horse Race Betting Systems
User Name
Password
Register FAQ Search Today's Posts Mark all topics as read

To advertise on these
forums, e-mail us.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #21  
Old 7th January 2005, 07:45 PM
Bhagwan Bhagwan is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,428
Default

The figures will be the same no matter what one does .
Why not stop at the first winner for the day ,then stop for the day.

I note a niumber of people dont have time to put in to the serious business of the punt
At the same time I dont have time to work for someone else ,so I dont.

But if you want to aim for a result in punting ,that`s what one has to do ,otherwise ,dont bet.


Cheers.
__________________
Cheers.
Reply With Quote
  #22  
Old 7th January 2005, 11:47 PM
Bhagwan Bhagwan is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,428
Default

Hi Shaun,
Good result .
Were using Win or Place betting.
__________________
Cheers.
Reply With Quote
  #23  
Old 8th January 2005, 08:01 PM
BJ BJ is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 479
Default Fav div...

Sorry but I think that any staking plan that doesn't reflect the price of the favourite is just not worth considering. If the market is so accurate (which I also believe) you must bet to return something. Eg bet $33.5 on a $3 favourite but only $25 on a $4 favourite. (Obviously to return $100).
The other way is to bet to make a profit, but this can be quite expensive when the price of the favourite gets too short.

I think your staking plan must reflect this. If your first doesn't get home, increase the return you are looking for.....

Etc... 1st bet to return $50
2nd bet to return $75
3rd bet to return $112.5

Please note this is not a researched percentage to increase stakes, just an example to back up my thoughts.......
Reply With Quote
  #24  
Old 9th January 2005, 07:20 AM
Bhagwan Bhagwan is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,428
Default

Hi BJ
The staking plan attached to this Favs plan ,is based on the min price we are targeting , if you havent already noted that .
It only needs a div. of $2.80 to make a profit any where in the sequence.
Any divs greater than that are a bonus.
__________________
Cheers.
Reply With Quote
  #25  
Old 9th January 2005, 11:38 AM
BJ BJ is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 479
Default Noted...

All I am saying is that the longer the price for the favourite, the less chance it has to win. If you were to have 9 $5 favourites in a row, the chances of losing all of them would be a lot greater than having 9 $2.8 favourites...

If you were to bet to return a figure, you would always know where you stood financially and your bet would always reflect your winning chance....
Reply With Quote
  #26  
Old 10th January 2005, 09:22 PM
beton beton is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 589
Default

Bhagwan
I have been off line a few days. I have looked at 470 races looking at $2.80 at the jump using 8 plus starters,betting the place only. The staking plan was 5% of a $500 bank stopping after two losses and resuming after a win. This proved to be a loser but i did notice that the bank went up to $700 in a slightly better place percentage area. The place percentage was about 56% and in the areas that the place % crept up to 60% the bank crept up.

On a place only i notice there is a better place percentage in the $2.50 plus range.

Can you please do a run on your data base using the following criteria
$2.5 plus at jump 8 to 12 starters. Stop at two losses and resume after a win (this saved 46 bets at a cost of 20 odd wins for a gain). I suspect that this will show a profit abeit little.

Thankyou in advance
Reply With Quote
  #27  
Old 11th January 2005, 01:49 AM
Bhagwan Bhagwan is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,428
Default

Answer 65% place but the LOT was -5% LOT
I cant make the program show stop & start perameters.

Have you tried compounding your bets by incresing after a looser until in profit.
Repeat bet if a placegetter does not recover all the O/S amount
E.g. increasing by say 1.33
10,13,18,24,31,42 ext.

OR 1.50
10,15,23,34,51,76 ext
__________________
Cheers.
Reply With Quote
  #28  
Old 11th January 2005, 09:40 PM
beton beton is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 589
Default

bhagwan
Thanks i will run an ongoing sample and a retrospective one. If this shows promise then i will pull a thousand odd random races.
Regards Beton
Reply With Quote
  #29  
Old 17th January 2005, 12:16 PM
kayser32 kayser32 is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 1
Default RE TAB Favourites Meeting

Hi There
Just wondering for anyone thats following this system whether 1. Your betting across a range of meetings with the staking plan or 2. Your running the staking plan against 1 meeting.

Cheers
Reply With Quote
  #30  
Old 21st January 2005, 09:51 AM
Bhagwan Bhagwan is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,428
Default

It makes no difference which way one runs it , it pans out the same .

I use it down the board , which means carrying it across meeting to meeting in chronological order.
__________________
Cheers.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Forum Jump



All times are GMT +10. The time now is 01:02 PM.


Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
©2008 OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved . ACN 091184655