Pirates vs Wildcats - Review

shoot %
wildcats 43%
pirates 31%
around 10% gap, it was the same gap in there pre game average. which is interesting.

3 point %
wild cats 56%
pirates 18%
wildcats continue there average of 53%. Pirates perhaps show a weakness.

The wildcats top scorer R.Tucker didnt play. In his past games he got 33 @ 63% , 22 @ 73%. This could be a reason why the Wildcats points total was so low at 85.

qaurter scores
27 24 19 15 widcats
19 20 21 12 pirates

Pirates droped off in last when the wildcats had a 10 point buffer.

Crocodiles vs Wildcats: preview
crocodiles $1.40 wildcats $2.75

wildcats will see the return of R.Tucker while the crocodiles will miss R.Brown who has scored in his past games 20 @ 62%, 17 @ 44%, 19 @ 86%. Unless someone steps up the crocodiles need R.Brown as two of there other top scorers are shooting at around 30% (J.Rillie and R.Rose).

Team Shooting %
crocodiles 45%
wildcats 50%

Teams 3 pointers %
crocodiles 26.67%
wildcats 54.33%

Team quarter scores average
30 24.33 22.33 23.33 crocodiles
29 24.67 29.67 23.33 wildcats
30 25 35 27.5 wildcats (with R.Tucker)

The only thing going against the wildcats is the home advantage to the croc's.

Im backing wildcats to win @ $2.75
and the wildcats +5.5 point spread @ $1.90 that i see at an aussie book looks very appealing

Think the Crocs will win at the swamp, but the $1.40 is a bit short so i've gone for the Hawks @ $1.62 to beat the Breakers in Auckland as my anchor today ending with the 36ers -10.5 @ $1.90 against the Pirates tomorrow night

Hawks win $1.62 *
Hawks -3.5 $1.85 *
36ers -10.5 $1.90******

I think +5.5 for Wildcats is excellent at $1.90. Wollongong look good as well at $1.55.

Not quite sure why Razorbacks aren't favourites against Brisbane today... they won by 31 pts last Sunday, why wouldn't they do it today? Despite being away I think they'll win.

West Sydney Razorbacks - $2.60

Once again Perth aren't the favourites.. this time against Cairns. Another mystery to me, why Perth aren't favourites. Home advantage is a bit overhyped in my opinion, Perth have been the best team so far, 4/4. Cairns are 0/2. I'm backing the Wildcats.

Perth - $2.10

Adelaide will beat Hunter and I expect them to cover the -11.5 spread too.

Melbourne vs. Sydney.
I'm not betting on this one, I got extra lucky on Wednesday and I'm not going to push it. However, Sydney's morale will be sky high after that win and they'll come out very confident against the tigers, whose morale may be low. Tigers will also be furious to get revenge, but Kings will want to prove it was not a fluke. All in all it's hard to say how it'll end. Flip a coin, heads: Kings, tails: Tigers.

...

tails.

Good luck.

Home advantage does seem to be a large factor when they set the odds. All the better for us if we can pick them.

This is the first home game for the Taipans and will need to play very well at home to win this one.
Average shoot %
taipans: 46.00%
wildcats:51.00%

Average 3 point %
taipans: 30.50%
wildcats:52.75%

Im backing wildcats to win.

Bullets vs Razorbacks
Average shoot %
bullets: 37.33%
razorbacks: 44.00%

Average 3 point %
bullets: 28.33.%
razorbacks: 32.00%

only a slight advantage to the razorbacks in most stats. With the 31 point victory last week im backing the razorbacks to win aswell.

Razorbacks win a tight one 113/111 and the Taipans beat the Wildcats in double over time 108/100.

Taipans shoot 46% 3pointers 43%
Wildcat shoot 41% 3pointers 26%!!!

After backing up yeaterday the wildcats got a poor shooting percentage. This happened also to the Bullets when they backed up.
Which makes the outcome of tonights game interesting, as both teams played yesterday.
Kings vs Bullets.

Kings will win. I'm quite sure of it. Backing them outright looks the best option as the line looks too hard to call for me.

2/3 of Sydney games haven't had over 200 pts. 200, 179 and and 221.

3/4 of Brisbane games have gone over 200 pts...202, 208, 181, 224.

still can't make up my mind on that one. (over/under)