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#1
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BROWNLOW BETTING
Away from Chris Judd $9
Nick Riewoldt $13 There is some value early Gary Ablett jnr $61 good enough for a tenner Cheers |
#2
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Rabbitz,
In conjunction with our tipping comps this year, we'll all have to have a few futures picks before week 1 of the comps and see how we go. Last edited by Sportz : 14th January 2005 at 08:52 AM. |
#3
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Betting on brownlow pre season is like picking melbourne cup winner in December !! Best to wait till September next year and still get around $6 on main chances, that way you are only betting on eligible players.
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#4
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My Hero!
Never seen your stuff,discipline pays,but if you can keep preaching like that and live up to your name,I'll be having a few bets on your advice.
Keep on posting. |
#5
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thanks moeee nice to get some positive feedback. hope to live up to my name and return consistent profit.
surely brownlow betting is fraught with danger. i would love to see results over last 5 years re preseason markets compared to end of home away . apart from bucley ( and you would need to divide divvy by 3 ) and maybe judd last year how much has been p***** up against the wall on favourites too early. remember last year a big go for hird early season was gone a long way from home and tredrea was surely a good thing beaten. the romatic notion of snagging a 150-1 winner is outweighed by fact that 150s is sometimes gross UNDERS, gary ablett is a very good young player but is too short, to give an example |
#6
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Yeah, I think you're right there, but with the tipping comp, it'll be purely play money we're betting with. I wouldn't really advise anyone bet on the Brownlow pre-season. So many players get knocked out of contention through injury and suspension and you can usually still get quite good odds on the day of the count.
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#7
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Quote:
I didnt realise there were so many conservatchickens on this forum $61 @ $5=$305 Not a big deal surely |
#8
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Been burnt a few times before Rabbitz. That's all.
Good luck with YOUR bet though and you're right, it is only $5 so no harm done. |
#9
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yeah i agree that $5 is nothing, if ablett has a good year and starts at 20s on night you can tell everyone that you backed him at huge price. everyone will think you are a genius !!!
a bit of fun for $5. like the guy i know who had $50 on brad hardie at 50s when he won, he still tells anyone who will listen the story . |
#10
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There is alot more value in the Brownlow medal than G.Ablett Jnr surely, keep the $5. Has there been a player in the last 5 years that has won from over 100/1 pre season. Also some of the odds seem very very strange when you compare 2 players. For example Tex Walker is at 301/1 while Scott Thompson is at 1001/1. Surely you could put half the players at 1000/1 As most wont get over 5 votes let alone win the thing.
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