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  #11  
Old 15th July 2004, 02:48 PM
moeee moeee is offline
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Looking at your selections Mr J,you'll be stepping on a few peoples toes getting your bets on.
You seem to have come up with some huge overs there.
And if your system is making 10% or so on turnover,I'm sure you could increase that by adding one more rule.
By the way,Onthepunt AFL tips are making a profit of 8% on turnover this year.

Cheers - Mo.
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  #12  
Old 15th July 2004, 03:35 PM
Mr J Mr J is offline
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Moe, I actually like going against the general opinion. Means prices will move in my favour.

BTW, my 10%POT is only using sportstab lines, at an average price of 1.90.

If I just used pinnacle (avg price of 1.95) my POT would be 12.2%.

OTP also only records bets at the very best lines the market has to offer, where as my record is against widely available lines. I hope you recognize the difference.
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  #13  
Old 15th July 2004, 06:19 PM
goldmember goldmember is offline
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W/COAST by 12
KANGAROOS by 20
ST KILDA by 20
BR LIONS by 39
ADELAIDE by 40
SWANS by 17
PT ADEL by 39
MELB by 21
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  #14  
Old 15th July 2004, 06:48 PM
rabbitz rabbitz is offline
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is subiaco the graveyard for melbourne teams or what.essendon have drifted way out in betting.it makes you not want to touch that game,specially in the first leg of any multi.I think moee"s the only one who'd take the 2.60 on offer
cheers
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  #15  
Old 15th July 2004, 07:19 PM
goldmember goldmember is offline
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I am more confident of the swans winning than essendon.
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  #16  
Old 15th July 2004, 08:23 PM
goldmember goldmember is offline
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Essendon - no Hird , no win !!!!
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  #17  
Old 16th July 2004, 10:16 AM
moeee moeee is offline
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Quote:
On 2004-07-15 15:35, Mr J wrote:

BTW, my 10%POT is only using sportstab lines, at an average price of 1.90.



At the local TAB in Victoria is a bookmaking firm called Sportstab.Their take out margin is a minimum of 8%.
If you are betting with them then you are not serious in your professionalism.
Not knocking the group,but you Mr J.
Unless you are just using their figures as a basis for coming up with a system.
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  #18  
Old 16th July 2004, 10:31 AM
moeee moeee is offline
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2 things.

Rabbitz.The other only way you can make money gambling,is by having a different opinion than someone else.
For example,look at Mr J's AFL tips over the season.Many appear just plain wrong.But his system bank is climbing by 10%.
If everybody used the same data in the same way,we'd come up with the same result.
I'm using the intangible thing called the vibe.Go Bombers.

Goldmember.Give me one reason why the Swans can not only beat Geelong but win fairly comfortably it seems.
Here is 3 reasons you seem to have erred.
Home game for the Cats.Cats above Sydney on the ladder.Top 4 position on the line.
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  #19  
Old 16th July 2004, 01:29 PM
Mr J Mr J is offline
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"Unless you are just using their figures as a basis for coming up with a system."

They were the only place I was able to get previous lines.


There's no way in hell I'd bet with them. I only bet online, mainly at offshore bookies.

Most of my betting (for NRL/AFL) is at pinnacle, canbet, sia, cris and olympic.
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  #20  
Old 16th July 2004, 01:38 PM
Mr J Mr J is offline
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"look at Mr J's AFL tips over the season.Many appear just plain wrong."

I love that!! That'd be a result of me just going by numbers, and not factoring in injuries, h2h etc.

Obviously there are different approaches one can use to beat sports. Each has advantages and disadvantages.
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